🚀 Idea: Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) – Accumulation Zone & AI Catalyst
🔍 Technical Analysis
Adobe is currently forming a base around $330–$360 on the weekly chart, which has been tested multiple times.
Supply zones: $550–$650, with a higher resistance near $700.
Momentum: Weekly RSI is showing a bullish divergence (lower lows in price vs. higher lows in momentum), signaling a possible reversal.
Projection: If support holds, price could re-test $550–$650 and potentially extend to $700+.
📊 Fundamentals & Catalysts
Q2 FY2025 Earnings: Revenue $5.87B (+11% YoY), EPS $5.06 vs. $4.48 YoY, with Digital Media ARR growing 12% YoY to $18.09B (Adobe, 2025a).
Digital Experience Segment: Expanded ~10% YoY, strengthening diversified revenue streams (Adobe, 2025a).
Raised Guidance: Full-year revenue outlook upgraded to $23.50-$23.60B and EPS to $20.50-$20.70 (Financial Modeling Prep, 2025).
AI Growth: Firefly and Acrobat AI Assistant adoption continues to drive ARR and premium feature upgrades (MarketWatch, 2025).
⚠️ Risks
Competitive threats from Canva, OpenAI, and other AI-driven platforms (Barron’s, 2025).
Slower enterprise adoption of premium AI features could weigh on margins.
Valuation remains elevated, requiring continued revenue and margin expansion.
📈 WaverVanir Trade Framework
Parameter Value
Entry Zone $330–$360
Stop Loss Below ~$300 (10–12% downside risk)
Target 1 $550–$650
Target 2 $700+
Time Horizon 3–6 months
R/R Potential ~2–3x if support holds
📌 Conclusion
Adobe sits at a critical accumulation level. If support holds, earnings strength + AI adoption momentum could propel price toward $550–$700. A failure to hold $330–$360 support would shift bias bearish toward $300.
#Adobe #ADBE #AI #DigitalMedia #WaverVanir #InstitutionalTrading
References
Adobe. (2025a). Q2 FY2025 financial results. Adobe Investor Relations.
Barron’s. (2025). Adobe earnings and competitive risks. Barron’s.
Financial Modeling Prep. (2025). Adobe raises full-year guidance as AI demand fuels growth.
MarketWatch. (2025). Adobe stock performance and AI catalyst outlook.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Adobe is currently forming a base around $330–$360 on the weekly chart, which has been tested multiple times.
Supply zones: $550–$650, with a higher resistance near $700.
Momentum: Weekly RSI is showing a bullish divergence (lower lows in price vs. higher lows in momentum), signaling a possible reversal.
Projection: If support holds, price could re-test $550–$650 and potentially extend to $700+.
📊 Fundamentals & Catalysts
Q2 FY2025 Earnings: Revenue $5.87B (+11% YoY), EPS $5.06 vs. $4.48 YoY, with Digital Media ARR growing 12% YoY to $18.09B (Adobe, 2025a).
Digital Experience Segment: Expanded ~10% YoY, strengthening diversified revenue streams (Adobe, 2025a).
Raised Guidance: Full-year revenue outlook upgraded to $23.50-$23.60B and EPS to $20.50-$20.70 (Financial Modeling Prep, 2025).
AI Growth: Firefly and Acrobat AI Assistant adoption continues to drive ARR and premium feature upgrades (MarketWatch, 2025).
⚠️ Risks
Competitive threats from Canva, OpenAI, and other AI-driven platforms (Barron’s, 2025).
Slower enterprise adoption of premium AI features could weigh on margins.
Valuation remains elevated, requiring continued revenue and margin expansion.
📈 WaverVanir Trade Framework
Parameter Value
Entry Zone $330–$360
Stop Loss Below ~$300 (10–12% downside risk)
Target 1 $550–$650
Target 2 $700+
Time Horizon 3–6 months
R/R Potential ~2–3x if support holds
📌 Conclusion
Adobe sits at a critical accumulation level. If support holds, earnings strength + AI adoption momentum could propel price toward $550–$700. A failure to hold $330–$360 support would shift bias bearish toward $300.
#Adobe #ADBE #AI #DigitalMedia #WaverVanir #InstitutionalTrading
References
Adobe. (2025a). Q2 FY2025 financial results. Adobe Investor Relations.
Barron’s. (2025). Adobe earnings and competitive risks. Barron’s.
Financial Modeling Prep. (2025). Adobe raises full-year guidance as AI demand fuels growth.
MarketWatch. (2025). Adobe stock performance and AI catalyst outlook.
WaverVanir ⚡ To grow and conquer
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Not Investment Advice
stocktwits.com/WaverVanir | wavervanir.com | buymeacoffee.com/wavervanir
Not Investment Advice
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Thông tin và ấn phẩm không có nghĩa là và không cấu thành, tài chính, đầu tư, kinh doanh, hoặc các loại lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị khác được cung cấp hoặc xác nhận bởi TradingView. Đọc thêm trong Điều khoản sử dụng.
WaverVanir ⚡ To grow and conquer
stocktwits.com/WaverVanir | wavervanir.com | buymeacoffee.com/wavervanir
Not Investment Advice
stocktwits.com/WaverVanir | wavervanir.com | buymeacoffee.com/wavervanir
Not Investment Advice
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và ấn phẩm không có nghĩa là và không cấu thành, tài chính, đầu tư, kinh doanh, hoặc các loại lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị khác được cung cấp hoặc xác nhận bởi TradingView. Đọc thêm trong Điều khoản sử dụng.