23-week-old support line challenges AUDUSD bears

28 thg 8, 2023

AUDUSD bears ran out of steam during the sixth week of the downtrend by positing the slimmest losses since mid-July. Even so, the Aussie pair faded bounce off a downward-sloping support line from early March, not to forget staying beneath a six-week-long descending resistance line. It’s worth noting that the nearly oversold RSI and the impending bull cross on the MACD challenge the pair sellers, suggesting another bounce off the stated multi-week-old support line, close to 0.6450 by the press time. In a case where the bears manage to conquer the 0.6450 support, last November’s bottom of around 0.6270 will be in the spotlight. Following that, the previous yearly low of near 0.6170 could lure the offers.

On the flip side, a corrective bounce needs validation from the downward-sloping resistance line from mid-July, close to 0.6435 at the latest. Also acting as the short-term upside AUDUSD hurdle is the 21-DMA of around 0.6505. Should the Aussie bulls manage to keep the reins past 0.6505, the lows marked in late June and early July around 0.6600 will give the final fight to the bulls before giving them control. It should be observed that the double tops marked in June and July surrounding 0.6900 appear a tough nut to crack for the buyers afterward.

Overall, AUDUSD remains bearish but the downside room appears limited, which in turn suggests a corrective bounce before the fresh leg towards the south.