This is a 4-hour BTC 2023-03 forecast with: BTC dominance & USDT dominance at the base of the chart. Further below are the top largest four crypto TOTAL market caps.
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4 hour:
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2-hour
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1-hour
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1-hour
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can BTC dip again before 2023-05-19?
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1-hour (indicators reflect: sell)
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1-hour (with overlapping indicators)
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3-hour (BTC may decrease around 11 to 19 days from today)
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original Bitcoin compared to BTC is growing in variance over the past 30 days
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30m
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30m
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It looks like there could be a downtrend soon; a possible short term entry.
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2h
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1h USDT.D has increase over BTC.D as TOTAL & BTC has declined. However, some ALTs at the base of this chart below measured in BTC value are still remaining positive over BTC in the time duration of this chart. Indicators for BTC are indicating "RED" status or "DOWNTREND":
3h reflects downtrend with red and orange indicators. USDT.D holding over BTC.D; reflecting a downtrend. CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL reflecting a downtrend.
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After week4+week1 had such a strong uptrend from the $20000 bottom, it is possible that we "may" see a week2 downtrend around 1am to 6am UTC-4 any time over the next 3 days.
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3h
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It may be possible for CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL and CRYPTOCAP:BTC to dip near 2024-01 (depending on what occurs from now until 2024-01)
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4h with 2h indicator at base of top chart
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1h with 1hr base indicator
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1h with 1hr top indicator
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1h
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30min
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News: "Economist Harry Dent Expects Biggest Crash in Our Lifetime" " Bitcoin may go down more like 95%, 96%. Dent expects the crypto market may crash alongside stocks, with BTC falling up to 95%-96% from its November 2021 high. "
It reached $30200 on the 25th as predicted on the 24th (on chat):
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1h BTC $29000 is possible by 2023-07-02 (then perhaps a light week1 increase):
15min:
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1h
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July 3, 2023 BTC $31,126.23
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July 4, 2023 BTC $31,732.23
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BTC July 4, 2023 20:20 EST: Low: $31,332.23 Average: $31,532.23 High: $31,732.23
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3h (3h top indicator):
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3-month view:
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BTC dominance is increasing at the same time as USDT dominance. This may reflect accumulation of crypto (perhaps more entries into crypto from fiat) or maybe a possible early indicator a more volatility in the next 12 months.
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3h (with 3h top indicator):
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week2 dip after week1 pump (3h with 3h top indicator)
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1D with 1D top indicator:
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1h repeating trend identified. possible increase; however decrease is expected. possible next very short-term bottom ETA still for 4 to 8 days away.
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1-day:
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2h with 2h top indicator:
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BTC very clear downtrend. I still expect the very short-term bottom to be in 3 to 6 days. Week1 increased. Week2 decreased. Week3 may be relatively flat then increase for week4 and week1 of 2023-08. However, week2 of 2023-08 will likely decrease and may see 28.5k or an average of FWB:29K to 29.5k. 27.8k is less of a chance, but still possible. 2h with 2h top indicator:
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1-day
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1h BTC is still on a downtrend for week 2 & week3 (possible slight increase for week4 & 2023-08 week1):
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1h
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1h decline continues:
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1h BTC still declining
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BTC 1-day (very red)
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BTC very red & still declining on 1-day (with 1-day top indicator):
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BTC 2h (with 2h top) still declining:
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1h still very red; further decline:
4h ( BTC $29,000 soon ):
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2hr very red vol.
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4h BTC still in decline
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1h
4h (BTC still declining; may have slight increase near 27th to 1st)
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BTC $24444 is possible 1-day:
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4h BTC signaling further decline. This could sift up a little by or after 2023-07-31 for a week.
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BTC Weekly (with 1-day top indicator):
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BTC worst case for a 2024-01 dip:
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BTC increase for week1, then decrease for week2
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Weekly BTC $26900 $27777 is possible:
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1-day BTC:
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BTC week1 increase as predicted. week2 may likely decline.
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4h
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4h BTC declining after a tiny week1 increase
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3h BTC is very red after week1 tiny increase before week2 dip
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BTC is in a predictive decline as week1 fell early for the week2 predicted decline.
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BTC is falling to $28,888 zone:
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BTC forecasts by the end of 2023: Wallet Investor: $50,000 Digital Coin Price: $45,000 TradingBeasts: $37,000 Gov Capital: $75,000 Price Prediction: $100,000
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$41000 to $52500 is possible.
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Disclaimer: recession onset 2024-01 can cause a flash dip
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MACD at base may reflect an increase soon:
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BTC $28,899 very soon
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As predicted with pink channel in 2023-03, BTC is remaining in that pink zone.
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weekly top indicator looks grim:
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Top indicator:
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2nd indicator (which is used twice, so it looks like two different indicators):
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3rd indicator (which is the same indicator as the 2nd indicator above, but with different settings):
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Monthly:
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BTC may see $21222 for next bottom & $41222 for next top by 2023-12-31, with a mid-point near $31222... then big dip near Q1 & Q2 2024.
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I'm shorting BTC the next 10-days. Then tiny week1 pump for 1st. Shorting Chart (look at the Vol.):
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BTC is taking the green channel here:
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BTC 4h selloff (more decline next 10-days):
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4h BTC still declining
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$25000
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BTC is still a nice short chart (more BTC decline; next 10-days):
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Shorting BTC (via AMEX:BITI) had very nice gains today. +6% to +7% zone
It's very possible that BITSTAMP:BTCUSD can reach $39,000, then dip to $22,000 during a recession onset near 2024-01-01 to 2024-04-04 (for a very short duration), then increase.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD+10% next 25 days... +20% next 50 days... +30% next 70 days. However, then a temporary crash by -40% to -50% near 2024-01-01 to 2024-04-04... Then back to increase after the dip.
Sometimes there is a measurable increase, before a decrease, to fuel the next increase, & a final decrease to fuel for the real increase (triple bottom Q1 2024 recession onset = tipple)
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3h
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30 days ago there was similar movement. also around the 2023-09-18
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1D BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has a decline trend since 2023-06 as predicted:
Today's jump was enough to be a Q4 peak before Q1 predicted 7-day dip... 32k is still possible one more time in Q4; however 50 to 70 days from now Q1 should see a 7-day dip. Therefore, today could be the last 30k being so close to 32k for Q4 2024.
If we do not see $32,666 to $38,666 in Q4 and $25,666 for less than 7 days in Q1 2024, then we will have a smaller bull run with less buyers. In order to get more buyers, these targets would need to occur.
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The chart also shows that Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase. This means that the price is trading within a certain range, and it is not clear which direction it will break out next.
* The price of Bitcoin has been making higher highs and higher lows since December 2020. This is a bullish signal. * The price of Bitcoin is currently consolidating between $30,000 and $33,000. This is a common occurrence during an uptrend. * The 50-day moving average (MA) is above the 200-day MA, which is another bullish signal. * The relative strength index (RSI) is in the neutral zone, suggesting that the price is neither overbought nor oversold.
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possible buy alerts:
* Buy alert 1: Buy when Bitcoin breaks above $33,000. This would be a breakout from the current consolidation phase, and it could signal the start of a new uptrend. * Buy alert 2: Buy when Bitcoin retraces to the 50-day MA (around $31,500). This would be a good opportunity to buy Bitcoin at a discount, if it does not break below the 50-day MA. * Buy alert 3: Buy when Bitcoin reaches the 200-day MA (around $29,000). This would be a good opportunity to buy Bitcoin at a deep discount, if it does not break below the 200-day MA.
All and any outside variables will always challenge the market price of BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
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This is one to monitor (from Nov1 ):
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what a repeat of the 2020 Q1 crash may look like if in Q1 2024: (click chart to play)
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BTC Day0 CUSTOM MOVING AVERAGES MA 999 = $24,517.61 MA 666 = $32,369.59 MA 333 = $48,505.82 MA 166 = $51,323.58 MA 133 = $52,212.14 MA 99 = $53,697.62 MA 66 = $49,271.06 MA 33 = $45,226.33 Last Updated: 2022-01-22
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(click to play)
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(click to play)
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Last halving --- 66.6 days prior:
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Watch out for the recession: recession monitor
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(click to play)
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This may be the last day at this low of level (subject to ETF approval or delay).
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After sharing the chart above, the butterfly effect can make the $43322 $44444.
In about 19.99 days the 66.6 days prior to halving day will be reached. Based off of historical data, the next 9.99 to 19.99 days should be the lowest price between today and 2025-04. Exception: Everything is subject to black swan dips.
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This is an excellent BITSTAMP:BTCUSD idea below. Some of my historical data analysis reflects a possible bottom can (I'm not saying that it "will" ) form in 9 to 19 days or 66.6 days prior to halving. However, as we all know, multiple different historical data analysis layered together to get the same timestamp still in not a solid guarantee. Also, outside variables can shift it up or down and 2024 is going to be full of outside variables; especially 2025-05 to 2025-11. I was expecting a possible Q1 2023 healthy correction, then we had the $20,000 zone and a possible Q1 2024 near $38,000. So maybe in about 9 to 19 days it should be begin heading up again is my forecast. I look for Q1 healthy corrections, since it's the under-consumption phase of the year. (click to play)
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BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 4h may reach bottom between 2024-02-01 and 2024-02-11: (click to play)
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After 2024-02-11, we may see something very similar to this 1W BITSTAMP:BTCUSD here: (click to play
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Also very possible after 2024-02-11: (click to play)
The 8th (increase) to 12th (decrease) of 2024-01. Now the 8th (increase) to 12th (decrease) of 2024-02 'may' repeat. However, I expect that the 12th 'can' be the next bottom's end.
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1W BTC DCA Analysis with Price Labels: Next Possible DCA Target: near 2024-02-12 (click to play)
* Event: Larger sell volume from the $69324 to $65400. * Result: Created panic sellers to sell down from $65400 to $63300 (piggy-back effect). * Next: The $69324 to $65400 sellers are buying it back up from $63300 to 65400 (larger buy volume); they will ride it up to the next level of $71777 (within 3 days). Then wave it again ($71777 to $67777) and back up to $$77777. 5m Chart: 15m Chart:
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$69300 was reached, we will likely see a repeat from $59300 to $69300. Then the $71777 will likely be soon after. 4h chart:
2020 & 2021 Official Day0 Forecast Reminder: I'm expecting...
peak: 2025-01-01 to 2025-07-07 & decline: 2025-08-08 to 2028-08-08. (best mathematical forecast ETA as of 2020 & still valid)
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EMA99 on 1D chart has very strong support
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We are sitting at the EMA99 $60066 today with risks of EMA133 $56999. However, I do not expect the decline to continue for 99.9 days. The bottom should appear, perhaps, the next 66.6 days.
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BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 1D measured in: USD; GOLD; & OIL multi-chart. As you can see BTC has been on a decline measured in all three values since 2024-03.
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BITSTAMP:BTCUSD 1D measured in: USD; GOLD; & OIL multi-chart. As you can see BTC has been on a decline measured in all three values since 2024-03.
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$150000 to $250000 is still very possible for 2025
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while waiting for transfer holds. $56666.66 DCA limit-buy order is set for next 6 days. chance of filling is very low.
Great piece of work, thanks for sharing it with us
day0
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@JovaA, Oh WOW! Thanks!!!! :D I love coins! :D
CryptoMonstersOfficial
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Appreciate your work, but i dont think BTC will reach 20K this year ✌
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@CryptoRibai, It already reached 20k right after this original idea was posted months ago. However, it is declining for weeks overall. It may very easily reach $27,800 withing the next 6 months, then increase. I'm watching for the recession onset dip too, but it all depends on if the recession onset is 2024-01 or 2025-01.
What do you think on the idea of a short (temporary) dip when the official recession onset becomes part of the equation? Do you think it will dip?
Depending on the price & year that the recession onset begins, the dip may be one week or months is my thought. However, in inflation will inflate the BTC price, so it will be very hard for $20,000 to return now with all of the inflation. Said differently: Inflation on the $20,000 24 months later is near $25,000 at the very lowest and that would be a bottom number that does not occur very often.
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I agree with this point of view but reaching 20K from this month till the end of the year is out of reach 27800 is a good support to land on if 29400 is breached Admire your work though 👌
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@CryptoRibai, Thanks! Yeah I think $29,000 is a key price and next key price is $27,800. However, inflation is really pumping these USD valuation points up every month; which makes the price higher than expected.
My inflation % that I like to use is pegged to "Organic Frozen Pizza", because it's hard to mess with the ingredients and the grain deal is expiring on 2023-07-18. So the pizza was $3.99 in 2018 and today it is $5.49. (So about 66.6% in past 5 years with an estimated 11% annually). This is how I predict the new possible bottoms relative to the inflation effects and how it controls the mark price.
Wheat (click play to view updates):
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@CryptoMonstersOfficial, It's getting closer toward the recession dip of near $20,000. Predicted Recession Date: near 2024-01 to 2024-04.
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Very professional piece of work!
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@TradingShot, Thank you! I like to triple check it. :D