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UnknownUnicorn180388
28 Th01 2018 23:20

Bitcoin - Historical $11,200 Breakout Giá xuống

Bitcoin / United States DollarCoinbase

Mô tả

Currency Pair: BTC.USD
Time Frame: 1hr
Predicted Direction: Short

Live BTC.USD updates will be available in the comments section below.

The brief trade analysis presented above is my predicted direction and requires multiple different indicators and confluence factors prior to validating a trade opportunity.
Should my daily predicted direction be incorrect no trade opportunity will be generated.

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Daily chart analysis.

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PLEASE NOTE:
Should there be no break below $11,200 there will be no short opportunity.

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Price now breaking all structure levels presented on chart.

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Expect price to find minor support at 11k

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Head & Shoulders Trading Strategy.

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Price has rejected 4hr 50EMA more than x7 times since 09.01.2018

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4hr ascending trendline support dating back to 17.01.2018

Will price find support again or break through another support level?

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Price has now run perfectly into 11k we will see how this level holds as very minor structure 1hr support.

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What is everyone's predictions for Bitcoin in 2018.

My Personal View:
Low's of 7k
High's of 25K

Let me know what your thoughts are below.

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Expect price to find minor 1hr support at $10,900
If you look left we also have the previous 1hr HL on the 27.01.2018 at 11am

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Textbook retest of 4hr ascending trendline support.
Price formed deceleration providing a potential reversal opportunity should price provide a candle entry.

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Price forming a double bottom ( 1hr TF ) continuing to respect 4hr ascending trendline.

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I would like to see a strong break and close below $10,838 which for me is the final minor inside shelf support prior to a longer term test of $10,500

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Textbook test of $10,500 as predicted.
Expect a consolidation period over the next coming hours.

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A solid break below ascending trendline previous support.
Be aware the 1hr TF is forming bullish RSI divergence which could now start off the consolidation period.

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Sub 10k here we come, should this break i see no Daily support until 7.5k

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My Daily target is now set.
I will keep updated from a daily perspective also.

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The Daily candle closed below 10k providing additional bearish information.
I suspect a pullback to 10.5k will occur prior to a continued push to the downside.

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Textbook 1hr 38.20% fib rejection as predicted this morning.

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Although the 1hr Tf doesn't always hold much weight in regards to structure i feel a break of the ascending trendline at $9800 would then trigger a strong sell off towards the $9000 level.

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Price now breaking below the ascending trendline support outline above.
This for me now has all the legs to breach the 9k mark.

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Price quickly approaching the 9k mark at which point i expect a consolidation period, all TF's in my opinion are over extended.

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9k has now been achieved, the bears are still in control.
Although price is clearly over extended i see no sign over deceleration or reversal.

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The final key level is now on the horizon of $8,000
Await a reversal and long opportunity.

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$8,000 has been breached, i will now keep my eye very close to the chat looking for longer therm reversals.

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Price bouncing off $7,500, should this break i can only see the next level would be $5,500 as from my analysis above on the 21st January.

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Hi Traders,

I have received many PM's in regards to trading the Head & Shoulders formation profitably, i attached a comment above ^ on the 29th January in regards to trading the H&S with confluence.

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My next trade opportunity for those trading the higher TF's.
Have a great weekend.

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steinoye
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UnknownUnicorn180388
@steinoye, I couldn't appreciate your comment more, thank you for the support.
HanktheTank
Hi Tom. Thanks for sharing your analysis. I gained a lot from the demonstration of the 50EMA effects on the price. I got to looking at the historical action of BTC and found that when the 200EMA is violated (even if it bounces), it tends to change the market from bearish/bullish and vice versa.

Would you agree? And if so, it appears that the 200EMA is at 8790 or thereabouts, meaning if that is broken, it could change to a bearish market altogether.

I've only been doing this for 3-4 months so I could be mistaken.
MarcelMartins
@HanktheTank, i agree

I think btc might go for 8300~ but it will be a very very quick drop and will retrace really fast, so we must keep an eye to buy on the dip.
UnknownUnicorn180388
@MarcelMartins, I also agree, that 7k - 8k area is a solid reversal and long opportunity.
UnknownUnicorn180388
@HanktheTank, I do agree yes, i use the 200 as a Daily, Weekly & Monthly setup is a feel it provides more weight than that of the lower TF's
Great observation, i hope all continues to go well your end.
utechs
Thanks ..

I had a short term bullish TA check it plz, what do you think?

s3.amazonaws.com/tradingview/snapshots/e/EC7YvUw2.png
UnknownUnicorn180388
@utechs, Hi,

I like it, i personally draw trendlines from the candle close but that's just personal preference.

Great job.
NeverNO
feb. = long



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