Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is already more than +5% for the day after Grayscale prevailed against the U.S. SEC in a historic ruling over the conversion of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust to a spot Bitcoin ETF in a lawsuit. This legal win could be a pivotal step towards having the first ever spot Bitcoin ETF authorized in the United States.
Technically the price reclaimed the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) with ease after breaking below it 12 days ago. A 1D candle closing above it would confirm this sentiment. After all, the August 22 low was exactly at the bottom of the 5-month Channel Up, making a Higher Low sequence. On top of that, the 1D MACD just completed a Bullish Cross, the 4th such formation these months.
As a result, BTC has both the fundamental and technical backing for a new medium-term rally. The previous two rallies to a Higher High have been around +29% so we are expecting at least $32500. Interestingly enough they both took only (around) 30 days to be completed since their bottoms (Higher Lows).
But what do you think? Is this the start of a new +30% rally for Bitcoin or just a fake-out move based on news? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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