Cocoa has hit levels which has previously proven to be support levels in 2011/12 and again in 2013. I believe that this may be the turning point for the cocoa price, after a rough 2016 with a 32% decline. If the support level is broken, though, it's probably wiser to open a short position.
What's interesting is that the short interest in cocoa is very high, and many traders and institutions hold a short position in cocoa, which could open up for a so called "short squeeze". The short interest is something I would monitor carefully, because if we see a decline in short positions, this could indicate that more people believe in a rise in cocoa prices, and have either just covered their short, or switched sides of the trade.