NaughtyPines

DIA MARCH 18TH IRON CONDOR

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AMEX:DIA   SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF
Because my layered on setups in SPY are getting "a little busy" as far as number of setups on and their location strike-wise, I figured I'd briefly move my iron condoring to DIA for a little while to allow my SPY setups to clean themselves up (one way or another).

Here's a March 18h setup:

DIA March 18th 142/146/170/174 iron condor
Probability of Profit %: 67%
Max Profit: $96/contract
Buying Power Effect: $304/contract

Notes: Look to take the entire setup off at 50% max profit. Should one side near max profit, roll the entire spread/wing approaching max profit toward current price within the same expiration if it is reasonably profitable to do so. With these particular setups in index ETF's where vol skew is involved, I generally do any call side roll to not greater than the edge of the expected move on the call side (the 75% probability OTM strike) and any put side roll to the 1 SD line (the 84% probability OTM strike).

On a test of a side, look to roll the tested side out at the same strikes and sell an oppositional side against the rolled out side for a credit greater than what it cost to roll out the tested side. (This frequently requires looking at a number of different expirations to see what works best in the individual setup's circumstance). I generally do this no later than 3 or 4 DTE.
Bình luận:
Filled a slightly tweaked setup -- a March 18th 144/147/168/171 for a .99 credit.
Bình luận:
Covered today for a .66 debit. It's less than 50% max, but I'm looking to take some risk off the table.
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