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corganmusic
9 Th02 2018 03:02

Dow Jones Industrial Drop & Rebound Projection - Fib Retracement 

Dow Jones Industrial Average IndexDJ

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Of course I'm betting that price will follow one of the yellow lines, but let's talk about why...

Drawing the with the Fibonacci Tool with the correct ratios has a profound effect - you can start to see where the market will reverse with surprising accuracy, even when the market is creating new highs.
To set our Fib tool we use these ratios:
0 - Trend Beginning
.382
.5 - Half (not a harmonic number, but I find value in having it)
.618
1 - Trend End
1.618
2.618
3.618
4.618

We can then use the tool to look for new resistance/support that has not been drawn yet.

:PAST: Drawing A to B shows us the next resistance at the 1.618 line. It hit and reversed at that point (around 350 points off) SEE CHART
:PAST: Drawing C to D shows us the next resistance at 1.618 as well, where price resisted and was able to break through to the 2.618 (around 80 points off)
:PRESENT: Drawing C to E will show new possible support/resistance- We would normally use past values to draw this, but there are none!
-------------We may even look further for the .886 retracement (not drawn) and the .786 retracement (also not drawn) for price to bounce and resume upward. ----------------------
: FUTURE: Drawing from (new low point) to E will show us the next possible stopping point for the DOW

This is all due to @cdschultheis HE PREDICTED ONE OF THE BIGGEST CORRECTIONS OF THE DOW, AND DIDN"T POST IT. hahahaha




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Not going to happen anytime soon with Trump in office - it would need to go below the price when he took office.

Look for the same measurement C to D to have some sideways movement at 3.618
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andrewau2014
When do you think it will reach 18920?
corganmusic
@andrewau2014, of the time it takes to grow, it usually takes half the time to correct. so around 500 days. Looking at this again though, and realizing the implications - it would drop below the price when Pres Trump took office I completely withdraw my prediction of it dropping this far.

That being said, I still believe in the way that it's drawn from C to D, and will be looking for another correction at 3.618 :)
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