TVC:DXY   Chỉ số đồng đô la Mỹ
Analysis based on Elliott waves , patterns repeat itself: 1980s - 2000s - 2020s

Long term prediction on US Dollar             Currency Index, bottom on the DXY             will be reach around 2020s.

Until that time we will see slow move down.

We are in F -> G move, which means small upward move should happen in several weeks maybe months.

Nonetheless, in long term I predict strong down ward move G -> H then I -> J , K -> L and M -> N.

If my scenario will actually happen then price of XAUUSD             will move very, very strongly up - long term prediction.

Move on XAUSD will be comparable to the one in 1980s: http://www.macrotrends.net/1333/historical-gold-prices-100-year-chart

DXY             is getting weaker and weaker over the time as Asia, especially China is getting stronger.
Giao dịch bắt đầu
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Giao dịch bắt đầu: Trade is still active, since plot is analysed on weekly timeframe then it's not perfect.
I only wanted to show main trend of the DXY, to be more precise please follow analysis of daily traders.
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Giao dịch bắt đầu: Price of DXY (G -> H ) will go down after December's rates hike and by the same XAUUSD will move up from recent consolidation point.

Rate hike odds: http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
Giao dịch bắt đầu: Everything is going on as expected, XAUUSD up and DXY down.
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Giao dịch bắt đầu: So far I'm very happy with this analysis.

Interest rate hike carried by J.Powell on 21st March 2018 will push XAUUSD up (over 1400$/oz) and DXY down ( I -> J). However, until that time XAUUSD may go temporarily down ~1300$/oz.
Giao dịch bắt đầu: As predicted J.Powell hiked rates http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-43489661

XAUUSD moved up, DXY was pushed down.

I'm still waiting for I -> J move and XAUUSD over 1400$
Giao dịch bắt đầu: It's not a perfect prediction but DXY moved very close to that I predicted. Please remember that I made this plot on 8/24/17 - 9 months ago!!

Interest rate hike will take place on 13th Jun 2018, according to FED's Rate Monitor and FED Watch websites:
https://uk.investing.com/central-banks/fed-rate-monitor
http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html/

In both cases there is 100% for rates to be raised up to 1.75-2.00, that will push DXY down (I -> J) gold will go up.
Great call from 8/24/17 !!!
+1 Phản hồi
Simon_says wxman99
@wxman99, Thanks :]
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Why would an interest rate hike strengthen gold/weaken the USD?
+2 Phản hồi
bro thats gonna suck balls
+1 Phản hồi
@nbn007, haha, why? What do you mean?
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does Simon Says further dollar weakness last week of November? Gold Bull beginning here?
+1 Phản hồi
@faronf, I believe gold is building consolidation pattern for near future upwards movement. While DXY is testing lower lows and will move strongly down soon, but can't give you exact data.
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faronf Simon_says
@Simon_says, you mean like this Simon?

+1 Phản hồi
Are you long or short? GL mate.
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