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4 Th02 2018 00:54

Bittrex ETCBTC 1D - Wyckoff Accumulation/Distribution Analysis 

Ethereum Classic / BitcoinBittrex

Mô tả

This is an attempt at trying to identify Wyckoff events and phases of ETCBTC:BITTREX.

Starting off with the previous distribution, we have the following events:
  • Preliminary Supply - This shows an unloading of the asset after a strong rally, usually accompanied by large volumes (in this case higher relative to previous time frames).
  • Buying Climax - Very large rally accompanied by highly increased volumes and large spreads.
  • Automatic Reaction - After the buying diminishes post buying climax, the reaction takes place; sets the limits of the lower trading range.
  • Secondary Test - The price action revisits the area of the climax testing demand and supply at these level.
  • Sign of Weakness - Supply is now dominant; sets the limits of the lower trading range
  • Last Point of Supply - After a support is tested on a sign of weakness, a small rally forms which will struggle due to weak demand or substantial supply (or both). Usually it represents the exhaustion of demand before markdown begins
  • Upthrust after distribution - It occurs in the late stages of the trading range and provides a final test of new demand after attempting a breakout above the trading range resistance.

Going into the new accumulation phase, we have the following events:
  • Preliminary Support - Substantial buying occurs after a prolonged down move, we have high volume and high spreads signaling that the down-move is ending.
  • Selling Climax - Point at which large spreads and large selling pressure is starting to be absorbed.
  • Automatic Rally - Occurs after intense selling pressure diminishes. The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of accumulation trading range
  • Secondary Test - Price revisits the area of the selling climax to test supply/demand at these levels. It is common to have multiple tests after a selling climax.

Bình luận

What we are to expect is the finishing of Phase B of the Accumulation and going into the Spring phase. So on a medium term we are to expect a potential down-turn of the price until it goes under the lower bound of the trading range, the end of which will result in a set of strong rallies, pushing the price action strongly up.

Bình luận

Tl;dr - place buy orders under 0.001, start taking profit at around 0.1.

Bình luận

Small correction of the above, buy orders to be under 0.0013.

Bình luận

Taking profit from 0.0058 is also reasonable maybe...
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