AROD01
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Ford Long Term Bull

NYSE:F   FORD MTR CO DEL
I am not a professional. I am not certified, licensed, or employed by any person or institution to give financial advice. I currently have shares of Ford I plan to hold for the long term and am considering purchasing a long term Call Option in Ford.

I am going with Ford for the long term. If you want a short term analysis of Ford, look at the post I published right before this one. The chart you hopefully see is a long term line chart set on weekly. I realize there are a lot of lines and I apologize if that is confusing, but I ask you bear with me....or in this case bull with me *duck and cover* :) If you look at the vertical orange lines, I have attempted to space them in what I see as a biennial pattern. Let me know what you think, but to me it looks as if Ford trends for a couple years and then consolidates before trending again. Those trends are both bearish and bullish , but I think we have just entered either the bullish trend or the consolidtion after a bearish trend . I think Ford hit a low point back in July/August of 2017 and has been climbing ever since. I think it will do one of two things depending on which phase it is in. If it is in the consolidation phase it may go sideways or up a little bit more before retracing back to the area of July/August 2017 in the $10ish-$10.50ish area and then come back up. Right now I'm waiting for it to break the resistance of $12.80 from back in February 2012 (also, if you read my short term post about Ford you'll see I already have a $12.75 resistance line drawn for short term consolidation) and the $12.60ish resistance it seems to keep hitting from February of this year (which was also used as support back in February and March of 2013) to see if it will continue up or not. If it continues up, with help of our current Bull Market, I think the call can be made that Ford is in the up-trend phase. My guess for resistance for the up-trend is $16.00 (green line) or $17.25ish (blue line). If you really want to be an optimist you could hope for it to reach the $30.00 mark from back in 2000; and though I'm not ruling that out completely, I'm not counting on it. The red line I've drawn at $18.40ish is my highly optimistic outlook, but the $16/$17 lines I've mentioned are more realistic to me. $14.00 also seems to be bit of a resistance buffer as seen in April 2010, January 2013, July 2016; and as support in October 2014 and September 2015.
"Ford Motor Company Trading Strategy Buy Points" -- 10-15-2018
#1 = $9.82 -- Filled 8-10-2018 -- 100 shares
#2 = $9.22 -- Filled 9-27-2018 -- 100 shares
If you are "Bullish Ford" ? -- Excellent time to start buying at or below $8.82 -- My opinion.
#3 = $8.82 -- Filled 10-10-2018 -- 150 shares
#4 = $8.67 -- Filled 10-12-2018 -- 153 shares
Buy points listed below "May" or "May Not" get filled ?
#5 = $8.21 -- Open order to buy 162 shares
Wave "A" down and Wave "C" down are equal at $8.20 -- Wave Count #1 -- A-B-C Flat Correction ?
Wave "A" down started at $18.97 January, 2011 and ended at $9.05 October, 2011 ?
Wave "C" down started at $18.12 July, 2014 and ended at -- ?
If you are "Bullish Ford" ? -- "Major Buy Zone" $8.00 and lower -- My opinion.
#6 = $8.00 -- Open order to buy 184 shares
Wave "A" down and Wave "C" down are equal at $9.97 -- Wave Count #2 -- A-B-C Flat Correction ?
Wave "A" down started at $18.97 January, 2011 and ended at $8.82 August, 2012 ?
Wave "C" down started at $18.12 July, 2014 and ended at -- ?
#7 = $7.89 -- Open order to buy 187 shares
Fibonacci .618 retracement = $7.88
#8 = $7.56 -- Open order to buy 196 shares
#9 = $7.24 -- Open order to buy 205 shares -- Top of Gap Monthly Chart
#10 = $7.00 -- Open order to buy 226 shares -- Bottom of Gap Monthly Chart
#11 = $6.61 -- Open order to buy 240 shares -- October, 2009 low = $6.61

This is for information only --- Trade at your own risk
"One Eye Jim"
Phản hồi
"Ford Trading Strategy Update" --- 10-10-2018
Trade #1 = $9.82 --- 100 shares --- Filled 8-10- 2018
Trade #2 = $9.34 --- 100 shares --- Filled 9-5-2018
Sold Trade #2 --- 100 shares --- 9-19-2018 -- at -- $9.7258
Bought back trade #2 --- 100 shares --- 9-27-2018 -- at -- $9.22
My opinion $8.82 and lower excellent place to start buying -- If you are "Bullish Ford" ?
Trade #3 = $8.82 --- 150 shares --- Filled 10-10-2018
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Open orders to buy listed below -- Targets listed below "May" or "May Not" get filled ?
Trade #4 = $8.67 --- 153 shares
Trade #5 = $8.21 --- 162 shares
My opinion -- $8.00 and lower -- "Major Buy Zone" -- If you are "Bullish Ford" ?
Trade #6 = $8.00 --- 184 shares
Trade #7 = $7.89 --- 187 shares
Trade #8 = $7.56 --- 196 shares
Trade #9 = $7.24 --- 205 shares
Trade #10 = $7.00 --- 226 shares
Trade #11 = $6.61 --- 240 shares
This "Is Not" a recommendation to buy or sell anything. --- Trade at "Your Own Risk"
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
"Dow Jones Industrial Average" and "The Great Depression" --- Market Cycles as I see them.
Sharing some information to study and think about listed below.
The start of the "Great Depression" 1929 plus 90 yrs = 2019 -- (90 yr cycle ?)
10 yr cycle low 1932 = "DJIA Great Depression Low" plus 90 yrs = 2022 -- (90 yr cycle ?)
20 yr cycle lows plus or minus one year listed below.
1902 (Bottom 1903) -- 1922 (Bottom 1921) -- 1942 -- 1962 -- 1982 -- 2002 -- (2022 + or - one yr ?)
The "Rule of Alternation" as I see it. --- This rule "Does Not" always work as one would think it should.
1902 to 1922 = good cycle this is the only one in question ? --- My opinion.
1922 to 1942 = bad cycle -- First time "Bull Market" in bad cycle 1902 to date.
1942 to 1962 = good cycle -- 1962 to 1982 = bad cycle -- 1982 to 2002 = good cycle
2002 to 2022 = bad cycle -- Second time "Bull Market" in bad cycle 1902 to date.
Each 20 yr cycle has two 10 yr cycles and five 4 yr cycles and a few others. -- (Big and Small)
This year 2018 a 4 yr cycle low is due to bottom ? -- cycles "Do Not" always top or bottom on schedule.
Sometimes cycles "Do Not" work at all --- They can fade in and out.

"America U.S.A." --- "Good Luck" --- We are going to need it in a big way.
"One Eye Jim"
Phản hồi
Ford Trading Indicators -- Add to My September 11, 2018 comment
17 - 33 - 42 -- and -- 42 - 33- 17
33 - 17 - 42 -- and -- 42 - 17 - 33
17 - 42 - 33 -- and -- 33 - 42 - 17
These numbers work with other "Markets"

"One Eye Jim"
Phản hồi
Ford and Trading Indicators -- Three Examples Shown Below
UO = Ultimate Oscillator
TSI = True Strength Indicator
Stoch = Stochastic
Two sets of numbers to use --- 17-33-42 -- and -- 42-33-17 -- examples Only
These numbers also work with other indicators
Monthly -- Weekly -- Daily -- and lower to one minute if you like
If you are "Bullish Ford" this may or may not help

This is for information only
"One Eye Jim"
Phản hồi
Sharing "My" -- "Ford Trading Strategy" -- 9-9-2018
Trade #1 = $9.82 -- 100 shares -- Filled 8-10-2018
Trade #2 = $9.34 -- 100 shares -- Filled 9-5-2018
Remember these targets listed below may or may not get filled
$8.82 and lower -- My opinion only excellent place to start buying if you are "Bullish Ford"
Trade #3 = $8.82 -- open order to buy 150 shares
Trade #4 = $8.67 -- open order to buy 153 shares
Trade #5 = $8.21 -- open order to buy 162 shares
$8.00 and lower My opinion only "Major Buy Zone" if you are "Bullish Ford"
Trade #6 = $8.00 -- open order to buy 184 shares
Trade #7 = $7.89 -- open order to buy 187 shares
Trade #8 = $7.56 -- open order to buy 196 shares
Trade #9 = $7.24 -- open order to buy 205 shares
Trade #10 = $7.00 -- open order to buy 226 shares
Trade #11 = $6.61 -- open order to buy 240 shares
All open orders to buy can change at anytime
This "Is Not" a recommendation to buy or sell anything
Trade at your own risk -- "Good Luck"

"Inverted Yield Curve" coming soon ? = Recession or Depression
Something to learn about and think about
Inverted Yield Curve and recessions in the "U.S.A."
U.S. Treasury Yield Curve -- 10 yr minus 2 yr note
Just sharing some very important information
"Good Luck" -- "U.S.A." -- "We" are going to need it
"One Eye Jim"
Phản hồi
"U.S.A. America" --- Major Stock Markets "Do Not" look Very Bullish at this time. -- 3-4-2018
Use -- "Daily Line Chart" -- to see what "I" am talking about.
Dow Jones Industrials -- SP 500 -- SP 400 -- SP 100 -- NASDAQ
From the 2018 highs they all look like 5 Waves Down and A-B-C up.
Looks like a -- "New Down Move May Have Started" -- ?
This "Is Not" a recommendation to buy or sell anthying.
This is for information only. Just sharing what "I" see.

Let's See What Happens.
"One Eye Jim"

Phản hồi
---------------------- "Ford Trading Strategy Update" --- 3-4-2018 --- Will Update Weekly If Needed
======================================================================================================
---- Buy Points ---- # of Shares ----------- Total Cost --- Date Filled --- Average Cost Per Share --- Break Even Point
#1 = $11.84 ------------- 100 ------ W ------ $1,190.95 ----- 1-25-2018 -------------- $11.91 --------------------- $11.98
#2 = $11.72 ------------- 100 ------ J ------- $1,178.95 ----- 1-25-2018 -------------- $11.79 --------------------- $11.86
#3 = $11.62 ------------- 260 --- W --- J --- $3,035.10 ----- 1-25-2018 -------------- $11.68 --------------------- $11.73
#4 = $11.38 ------------- 100 ------ W ------ $1,144.95 ----- 1-29-2018 -------------- $11.45 --------------------- $11.52
#5 = $11.36 ------------- 100 ------ J-------- $1,142.95 ----- 1-29-2018 -------------- $11.43 --------------------- $11.50
#6 = $11.14 ------------- 260 --- W --- J --- $2,910.30 ----- 1-29-2018 --------------- $11.20 --------------------- $11.25
#7 = $11.03 ------------- 260 --- W --- J --- $2,881.70 ----- 1-31-2018 --------------- $11.09 --------------------- $11.14
#8 = $10.94 ------------- 100 ------ W ------ $1,100.95 ------ 1-31-2018 -------------- $11.01 --------------------- $11.08
#9 = $10.71 ------------- 100 ------ J ------- $1,077.95 ------ 2-2-2018 --------------- $10.78 ---------------------- $10.85
=======================================================================================================
--------------------------- 1380 --------------- $15,663.80 -------------------------------- $11.36 -- Plus or Minus -- $11.42
=======================================================================================================
All Open Orders To Buy Can Change At Any Time.
---- Buy Points ---- # of Shares -------------------------------------
#10 = $9.99 -------------- 260 --- W --- J --- Open Order To Buy
#11 = $8.82 -------------- 130 --- W --- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ? = "May Double" --- open order to buy.
#12 = $8.66 -------------- 133 --- J ---- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ?
#13 = $8.16 -------------- 142 --- W --- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ?
#14 = $7.97 -------------- 146 --- J ---- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ?
#15 = $7.88 -------------- 148 --- W --- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ?
#16 = $7.24 -------------- 162 --- J ---- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ?
#17 = $7.00 -------------- 168 --- W --- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ?
#18 = $6.61 -------------- 178 --- J ---- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ?
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is for information only. -- Just sharing "My" trading strategy with everyone.
This "Is Not" a recommendation to buy or sell anything. --- "Education Only"
U.S.A. Major Markets "Do Not" very "Bullish" at this time. -- 3-4-2018

Let's See What Happens
"One Eye Jim"
Phản hồi
"Ford Trading Strategy Update" -- 2-26-2018 -- This can change at anytime.
Open Order to Sell trades #6 thru #9 total shares = 720 -- at -- $11.44

This "Is Not" a recommendation to buy or sell anything.
Just sharing "My" strategy at this time.
Phản hồi
"Ford Trading Strategy Update" -- 2-18-2018 -- Could Get Very Wild -- " ? "
==================================================================
---- Buy Points --- # of Shares --- All Buy points = Open Orders To Buy
#10 = $8.82 ------------ 130
#11 = $8.66 ------------ 133
#12 = $8.16 ------------ 142
#13 = $7.97 ------------ 146
#14 = $7.88 ------------ 148
#15 = $7.24 ------------ 162
#16 = $7.00 ------------ 168
#17 = $6.61 ------------ 178
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trades #1 -- thru -- #9 -- Open Order to Sell All Shares 1380 total at $11.44
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
This -- "Is Not" -- a recommendation to buy or sell anything.
Just Sharing My Trading Strategy With Everyone.
Trade At Your Own Risk.

This Trading Strategy Can Change At Anytime
"One Eye Jim"


Phản hồi
"Ford Motor Company" --- "Looks Like Five Waves Up" --- From November, 2008 Low
Wave "1" up -- or -- Wave "A" up -- This is the "Big Question"
Starting Date = November, 2008 Low = $1.01 = "Ford" --- Great Recession Low
Ending Date = January, 2008 High = $18.97 --- Total Point Gain = $17.96
Started - Wave 2 - or - Wave B down -- January, 2008 High. -- This is "My" opinion only.
Other "Elliott Wave Counts" do exist.
Check Out --- "Great Recession Auto Industry Bailout"
===============================================================================
Some "Fibonacci Retracement Points" to think about.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Point Loss ------ Ford Price
.236 = $4.23 ------------- $14.74
.25 = $4.49 --------------- $14.48
.382 = $6.86 ------------- $12.11
.50 = $8.98 --------------- $9.99
------ Major Support Level = $8.82 August, 2012 Low
------ " If " A-B-C correction -- Wave A and Wave C are equal at $7.97
.618 = $11.09 ------------ $7.88
------- Top of Gap Monthly Chart = $7.24 November, 2009 Low

------- Bottom of Gap Monthly Chart = $7.00 October, 2009 Close
.75 = $13.47 -------------- $5.50
1.00 = $18.97 ------------- $1.01
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Hope it bottoms around $7.00 plus or minus max.
This is for information only. -- Trade at "Your Own Risk"

"One Eye Jim"
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