AROD01
Giá lên

Ford Long Term Bull

NYSE:F   FORD MTR CO DEL
I am not a professional. I am not certified, licensed, or employed by any person or institution to give financial advice. I currently have shares of Ford I plan to hold for the long term and am considering purchasing a long term Call Option in Ford.

I am going with Ford for the long term. If you want a short term analysis of Ford, look at the post I published right before this one. The chart you hopefully see is a long term line chart set on weekly. I realize there are a lot of lines and I apologize if that is confusing, but I ask you bear with me....or in this case bull with me *duck and cover* :) If you look at the vertical orange lines, I have attempted to space them in what I see as a biennial pattern. Let me know what you think, but to me it looks as if Ford trends for a couple years and then consolidates before trending again. Those trends are both bearish and bullish , but I think we have just entered either the bullish trend or the consolidtion after a bearish trend . I think Ford hit a low point back in July/August of 2017 and has been climbing ever since. I think it will do one of two things depending on which phase it is in. If it is in the consolidation phase it may go sideways or up a little bit more before retracing back to the area of July/August 2017 in the $10ish-$10.50ish area and then come back up. Right now I'm waiting for it to break the resistance of $12.80 from back in February 2012 (also, if you read my short term post about Ford you'll see I already have a $12.75 resistance line drawn for short term consolidation) and the $12.60ish resistance it seems to keep hitting from February of this year (which was also used as support back in February and March of 2013) to see if it will continue up or not. If it continues up, with help of our current Bull Market, I think the call can be made that Ford is in the up-trend phase. My guess for resistance for the up-trend is $16.00 (green line) or $17.25ish (blue line). If you really want to be an optimist you could hope for it to reach the $30.00 mark from back in 2000; and though I'm not ruling that out completely, I'm not counting on it. The red line I've drawn at $18.40ish is my highly optimistic outlook, but the $16/$17 lines I've mentioned are more realistic to me. $14.00 also seems to be bit of a resistance buffer as seen in April 2010, January 2013, July 2016; and as support in October 2014 and September 2015.
"U.S.A. America" --- Major Stock Markets "Do Not" look Very Bullish at this time. -- 3-4-2018
Use -- "Daily Line Chart" -- to see what "I" am talking about.
Dow Jones Industrials -- SP 500 -- SP 400 -- SP 100 -- NASDAQ
From the 2018 highs they all look like 5 Waves Down and A-B-C up.
Looks like a -- "New Down Move May Have Started" -- ?
This "Is Not" a recommendation to buy or sell anthying.
This is for information only. Just sharing what "I" see.

Let's See What Happens.
"One Eye Jim"

Phản hồi
---------------------- "Ford Trading Strategy Update" --- 3-4-2018 --- Will Update Weekly If Needed
======================================================================================================
---- Buy Points ---- # of Shares ----------- Total Cost --- Date Filled --- Average Cost Per Share --- Break Even Point
#1 = $11.84 ------------- 100 ------ W ------ $1,190.95 ----- 1-25-2018 -------------- $11.91 --------------------- $11.98
#2 = $11.72 ------------- 100 ------ J ------- $1,178.95 ----- 1-25-2018 -------------- $11.79 --------------------- $11.86
#3 = $11.62 ------------- 260 --- W --- J --- $3,035.10 ----- 1-25-2018 -------------- $11.68 --------------------- $11.73
#4 = $11.38 ------------- 100 ------ W ------ $1,144.95 ----- 1-29-2018 -------------- $11.45 --------------------- $11.52
#5 = $11.36 ------------- 100 ------ J-------- $1,142.95 ----- 1-29-2018 -------------- $11.43 --------------------- $11.50
#6 = $11.14 ------------- 260 --- W --- J --- $2,910.30 ----- 1-29-2018 --------------- $11.20 --------------------- $11.25
#7 = $11.03 ------------- 260 --- W --- J --- $2,881.70 ----- 1-31-2018 --------------- $11.09 --------------------- $11.14
#8 = $10.94 ------------- 100 ------ W ------ $1,100.95 ------ 1-31-2018 -------------- $11.01 --------------------- $11.08
#9 = $10.71 ------------- 100 ------ J ------- $1,077.95 ------ 2-2-2018 --------------- $10.78 ---------------------- $10.85
=======================================================================================================
--------------------------- 1380 --------------- $15,663.80 -------------------------------- $11.36 -- Plus or Minus -- $11.42
=======================================================================================================
All Open Orders To Buy Can Change At Any Time.
---- Buy Points ---- # of Shares -------------------------------------
#10 = $9.99 -------------- 260 --- W --- J --- Open Order To Buy
#11 = $8.82 -------------- 130 --- W --- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ? = "May Double" --- open order to buy.
#12 = $8.66 -------------- 133 --- J ---- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ?
#13 = $8.16 -------------- 142 --- W --- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ?
#14 = $7.97 -------------- 146 --- J ---- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ?
#15 = $7.88 -------------- 148 --- W --- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ?
#16 = $7.24 -------------- 162 --- J ---- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ?
#17 = $7.00 -------------- 168 --- W --- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ?
#18 = $6.61 -------------- 178 --- J ---- ? --- Open Order To Buy --- ?
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is for information only. -- Just sharing "My" trading strategy with everyone.
This "Is Not" a recommendation to buy or sell anything. --- "Education Only"
U.S.A. Major Markets "Do Not" very "Bullish" at this time. -- 3-4-2018

Let's See What Happens
"One Eye Jim"
Phản hồi
"Ford Trading Strategy Update" -- 2-26-2018 -- This can change at anytime.
Open Order to Sell trades #6 thru #9 total shares = 720 -- at -- $11.44

This "Is Not" a recommendation to buy or sell anything.
Just sharing "My" strategy at this time.
Phản hồi
"Ford Trading Strategy Update" -- 2-18-2018 -- Could Get Very Wild -- " ? "
==================================================================
---- Buy Points --- # of Shares --- All Buy points = Open Orders To Buy
#10 = $8.82 ------------ 130
#11 = $8.66 ------------ 133
#12 = $8.16 ------------ 142
#13 = $7.97 ------------ 146
#14 = $7.88 ------------ 148
#15 = $7.24 ------------ 162
#16 = $7.00 ------------ 168
#17 = $6.61 ------------ 178
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trades #1 -- thru -- #9 -- Open Order to Sell All Shares 1380 total at $11.44
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
This -- "Is Not" -- a recommendation to buy or sell anything.
Just Sharing My Trading Strategy With Everyone.
Trade At Your Own Risk.

This Trading Strategy Can Change At Anytime
"One Eye Jim"


Phản hồi
"Ford Motor Company" --- "Looks Like Five Waves Up" --- From November, 2008 Low
Wave "1" up -- or -- Wave "A" up -- This is the "Big Question"
Starting Date = November, 2008 Low = $1.01 = "Ford" --- Great Recession Low
Ending Date = January, 2008 High = $18.97 --- Total Point Gain = $17.96
Started - Wave 2 - or - Wave B down -- January, 2008 High. -- This is "My" opinion only.
Other "Elliott Wave Counts" do exist.
Check Out --- "Great Recession Auto Industry Bailout"
===============================================================================
Some "Fibonacci Retracement Points" to think about.
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Point Loss ------ Ford Price
.236 = $4.23 ------------- $14.74
.25 = $4.49 --------------- $14.48
.382 = $6.86 ------------- $12.11
.50 = $8.98 --------------- $9.99
------ Major Support Level = $8.82 August, 2012 Low
------ " If " A-B-C correction -- Wave A and Wave C are equal at $7.97
.618 = $11.09 ------------ $7.88
------- Top of Gap Monthly Chart = $7.24 November, 2009 Low

------- Bottom of Gap Monthly Chart = $7.00 October, 2009 Close
.75 = $13.47 -------------- $5.50
1.00 = $18.97 ------------- $1.01
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Hope it bottoms around $7.00 plus or minus max.
This is for information only. -- Trade at "Your Own Risk"

"One Eye Jim"
Phản hồi
"Ford Motor Company" ------------------------------------------------- "Dow Jones Indestrial Average"
1-16-2018 High = $13.48 ---------------------------------------------------- 1-26-2018 High = 26,616.71
2-6-2018 Low = $10.19 ------------------------------------------------------ 2-9-2018 Low = 23,360.29
Total Point "Loss" = $3.29 ------------------------------------------------ Total Point "Loss" = 3,256.42
========================================================================================
---------------------------------------- "Fibonacci Retracement Points" ------------------------------------------
------ "Ford Motor Company" ---------------------------------------------- "Dow Jones Industrial Average"
Total Point "Gain" --- Ford Price ----------------------------------------- Dow Price ---- Total Point "Gain"
.236 = $0.77 ------------- $10.96 ------------ Resistance Zone ----------- 24,128.80 ---------- 768.51
.25 = $0.82 --------------- $11.01 --------------------------------------------- 24,174.39 ---------- 814.10
.382 = $1.25 ------------- $11.44 -------- High Resistance Zone --------- 24,604.24 ---------- 1,243.95
.50 = $1.64 -------------- $11.83 ---------------------------------------------- 24,988.50 ---------- 1,628.21
.618 = $2.03 ------------- $12.22 ----- Very High Resistance Zone ----- 25,372.75 ----------- 2,012.46
.75 = $2.46 -------------- $12.65 ---------------------------------------------- 25,802.60 ----------- 2,442.31
1.00 = $3.29 ------------- $13.48 ------- Major Resistance Zone -------- 26,616.71 ----------- 3,256.42
Could Be Very "Bullish" Above $13.48 ------------------------------- Could Be Very "Bullish" Above 26,616.71
------------------------------ Will Be Very Interesting To See How This Works Out. --------------------------------
=============================================================================================
This is for information only. --- "Education Only" --- This -- "Is Not" -- a buy or sell recommendation.

"One Eye Jim"
Phản hồi
---------------- "Ford" -- Trading Strategy Update -- 2-10-2018 -- "Will Update Weekly" -- If Needed
=======================================================================================================
---- Buy Points ---- # of Shares ------------ Total Cost --- Date Filled --- Average Cost Per Share ---- Break Even Point
#10 = $10.57 ------------ 100 ------ "W" ----- $1,063.95 ----- 2-5-2018 --------------- $10.64 ---------------------- $10.71
#11 = $10.38 ------------ 130 -------"J" ------ $1,356.35 ----- 2-5-2018 --------------- $10.44 ---------------------- $10.49
#12 = $10.36 ------------ 130 ------ "W" ----- $1,353.75 ----- 2-5-2018 --------------- $10.42 ---------------------- $10.47
=======================================================================================================
---------------------------- 360 ----------------- $3,774.05 -------------------------------- $10.49 -- Plus or Minus -- $10.55
====================================================================================================
"SOLD" -- Trade - #10 - #11 - #12 -- "SOLD" -- 360 Shares at $10.92 -- 2-7-2018 -- Total Profit = $143.14
All Open Orders To Buy -- "Ford" -- are -- "Deleted" -- "Cancelled" -- At This Time.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
At this time Open Order to -- "Sell" -- 1380 Shares "Ford" at $11.44 -- (.382 - "FIBO" - Retracement)
1-16-2018 High = $13.48 --- 2-6-2018 Low = $10.19 -- (.382 - "FIBO" - Retracement = $11.44)
=====================================================================================================
This Is -- "My" -- Opinion Only 66.7% Chance or Better -- "Major Bear Market" -- Has Started -- Very High Danger.
Dow Jones -- SP 500 -- SP 100 -- Nasdaq -- "Must" -- make -- "New High" -- to be "Bullish" at this time = 2-10-2018.
Looks Like -- 5 Waves Down From High -- All of These Major Markets -- Daily Chart. --- (This Is My Opinion Only)
This Could Change Very Fast. -- Reference -- Daily Bar Chart -- and -- Daily Line Chart -- Only Time Will Tell.
=====================================================================================================
This "Is Not" a recommendation to buy or sell anything. -- This is for information only. -- "Education Only"

Let's See What Happens
"One Eye Jim"
Phản hồi
--------------- "Ford" -- Trading Strategy Update --- 2-4-2017 --- "Will Update Weekly" --- If Needed
=====================================================================================================
---- Buy Points ---- # of Shares ----------- Total Cost --- Date Filled --- Average Cost Per Share --- Break Even Point
#1 = $11.84 ------------- 100 ------ "W" ----- $1,190.95 ---- 1-25-2018 -------------- $11.91 --------------------- $11.98
#2 = $11.72 ------------- 100 ------ "J" ------ $1,178.95 ---- 1-25-2018 -------------- $11.79 --------------------- $11.86
#3 = $11.62 ------------- 260 -- "W" -- "J" -- $3,035.10 ---- 1-25-2018 -------------- $11.68 --------------------- $11.73
#4 = $11.38 ------------- 100 ------ "W" ----- $1,144.95 ---- 1-29-2018 -------------- $11.45 --------------------- $11.52
#5 = $11.36 ------------- 100 ------ "J" ------ $1,142.95 ---- 1-29-2018 -------------- $11.43 ---------------------- $11.50
#6 = $11.14 ------------- 260 -- "W" -- "J" -- $2,910.30 ---- 1-29-2018 -------------- $11.20 ---------------------- $11.25
#7 = $11.03 ------------- 260 -- "W" -- "J" -- $2,881.70 ---- 1-31-2018 -------------- $11.09 ---------------------- $11.14
#8 = $10.94 ------------- 100 ------ "W" ----- $1,100.95 ---- 1-31-2018 -------------- $11.01 ---------------------- $11.08
#9 = $10.71 ------------- 100 ------ "J" ------ $1,077.95 ----- 2-2-2018 --------------- $10.78 ---------------------- $10.85
=======================================================================================================
--------------------------- 1380 ---------------- $15,663.80 ------------------------------- $11.36 + or - =========== $11.42
This Can Change ------ 1,000 Shares = Long Term $18.97 or Higher --- All Other Shares = Short Term Trading.
=======================================================================================================
All --- "Open Orders" --- To Buy Can Change At Anytime.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
---- Buy Points ---- # of Shares ---------- Open Order
=========================================================
#10 = $10.57 ------------- 100 -------------- Open Order ------- "W"
#11 = $10.38 ------------- 130 -------------- Open Order -------- "J"
#12 = $10.36 ------------- 130 -------------- Open Order ------- "W"
#13 = $9.85 -------------- 130 --------------- Open Order ------- "J"
#14 = $9.34 -------------- 130 --------------- Open Order ------ "W"
#15 = $9.09 -------------- 130 --------------- Open Order ------- "J"
#16 = $8.82 -------------- 260 --------------- Open Order --- "W" -- "J"
#17 = $8.66 -------------- 300 --------------- Open Order --- "W" -- "J"
#18 = $8.16 -------------- 300 --------------- Open Order --- "W" -- "J"
#19 = $7.79 -------------- 300 --------------- Open Order --- "W" -- "J"
#20 = $7.88 -------------- 300 --------------- Open Order --- "W" -- "J"
===========================================================
This -- "Is Not" -- A Recommendation to Buy or Sell Anything.
Just Sharing -- "My" -- Trading Strategy With Everyone.
===========================================================
Let's See What Happens
"One Eye Jim"
Phản hồi
I started watching "Ford Stock" about October, 2015 plus or minus.
Just waiting for something like this to happen.
Wright or wrong " I" am doing this.
66.6% or better chance of being correct.

Let's See What Happens,
"One Eye Jim"

Phản hồi
"Ford" -- Trading Strategy -- Update -- 2-2-2018 --- All Open Orders Can Change At Anytime.
===================================================================================
---- Buy Points ---- # of Shares ---------- Total Cost --- Date Filled --- Average Cost Per Share --- Break Even Point
=====================================================================================================
#11 = $10.57 ---------- 100 ----- "W" ------- Open Order To Buy
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
------------- Major Support = $10.47 -- Low -- 8-18-2017
------------- Major Support = $10.44 -- Low -- August, 2015
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
#12 = $10.38 ---------- 130 ------ "J" ------- Open Order
#13 = $10.36 ---------- 130 ----- "W" ------- Open Order
#14 = $9.85 ----------- 100 ------ "J" -------- Open Order
#15 = $9.34 ----------- 100 ------ "W" ------- Open Order
#16 = $9.09 ----------- 100 ------ "J" -------- Open Order
#17 = $8.82 ----------- 260 -- "W" -- "J" ---- Open Order
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Major Support = $8.82 -- Low -- August, 2012
--------------------------------------------------------------------
#18 = ?
#19 = ?
More Buy Points Will Be Added If Needed -- " ? "
========================================================
This "Is Not" a Trading Recommendation --- "Education Only"
This is for information only.
==========================
Let's See What Happens,
"One Eye Jim"
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