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2nd Warning On BRIDGEWATERS 20 bn USD "Big Short"

MIL:FTSEMIB   Chỉ số FTSE MIB
Story 1: January 23rd, 2018

Quote: "The hedge fund manager (Ray Dalio) said on Jan. 23 in an interview with CNBC that investors will see "a market blowoff" rally fueled by a flood of cash. "If you're holding cash, you're going to feel pretty stupid," he said.

Dalio founded Bridgewater Associates in 1975. The hedge fund now manages about $160 billion, according to its website. Bridgewater also has the biggest cumulative net profit for a hedge fund firm ever, according to data from LCH Investments. From inception to 2017, Dalio's firm posted a nearly $50 billion gain for its investors, the data showed.


Story 2: January 31, 2018: Bridgewater Huge Net Short Positions on Major DAX             Stocks announced in the Federal Gazette (gooogle "net short positions, Federal Gazette Germany," and type in "Bridgewater"

Or click on this chart to get facts & figures:


BRIDGEWATER vs. DAX: DAY TO COVER RATIO ON DAX             HEAVY WEIGHTED STOCKS (average 30 days) :


Deutsche Telekom AG: 1,93 Days to cover
SAP SE: 2,05 Days to cover
DEUTSCHE BANK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT: 2,07 Days to cover
Deutsche Post AG: 3,6 (!) Days to cover
Fresenius: SE & Co. KGaA: 2,06 Days to cover
Siemens: 2,01 Days to cover
Allianz SE: 1,9 Days to cover
Münchener Rückversicherungs-Gesellschaft Aktiengesellschaft in München: 2,07 Days to cover
adidas AG: 1,49 Days to cover
BASF SE: 2,75 Days to cover
Bayer Aktiengesellschaft: 2,34 Days to cover
E ON SE: 1,18 Days to cover
Daimler AG: 1,11 Days to cover

To compare this to other net short positons: TESLA             is shorted by 18 % of all stocks - but the day to cover ratio of this huge positons is actually just in a range between 2 to maximum 6 tradingdays (!). http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/tsla/short-interest

If ever BRIDGEWATER is wrong about this idea to short the DAX             than Europes Bellwether will raise dramatically. BRIDGEWATER is not only shorting the DAX             . BRIDGEWATER is shorting also Italien Banks by 3 Billion Euro             . BRIDGEWATER is the largest hedgefonds in the world. "Bridgewater manages about $150 billion in global investments for approximately 350 of the largest and most sophisticated institutional clients." Source: https://www.bridgewater.com/

If BRIDGEWATER is shorting the DAX             and same time "the largest and most sophisticated institutional clients" having long positions in the DAX             there are just two options:

a): BRIDGEWATER is bedding against own clients
b): Clients following Bridgewater and this could be close to manipulating the market.

Bridgewater opens its strategy to the public according to Italian Shortpositions on Boomberg TV: Published on February 1th 01 am https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-01/bridgewater-triples-wagers-against-italian-firms-to-3-billion

But just a few hours ago bloomberg published this stunning interview on February 1th 05 am: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-01/five-star-leader-vows-to-help-italian-banks-grab-creditor-assets

Story 3: January 5th, 2018

Ray Dalio: Recent market declines are just 'minor corrections,' still lots of cash to buy the dip
The manager of the world's largest hedge fund said the latest moves in the market are "happening sooner than we expected."
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/05/ray-dalio-recent-market-declines-are-just-minor-corrections.html

Story 4: January 12th 2018

Ray Dalio: Everything Changed In The Last 10 Days https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-12/ray-dalio-everything-changed-last-10-days

Story 5, 6 and 7: Are you supprised ro             read next?
Bình luận: Story 5 January 12th 2018:

Now - talking down the Markets?

Ray Dalio: 'Risks of a recession' are rising

Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio says in a LinkedIn blog post that the Federal Reserve's response to better-than-expected economic data and more fiscal spending may lead to an economic slowdown. "What we do know is that we are in the part of the cycle in which the central banks' getting monetary policy right is difficult and that this time around the balancing act will be especially difficult," he writes. The firm manages about $160 billion, according to its website." https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/12/ray-dalio-risks-of-a-recession-are-rising.html

And: "$160 billion hedge fund exec: 'We’ll probably have a much bigger shakeout coming'"
http://www.businessinsider.com/bridgewater-co-cio-bob-prince-on-market-volatility-bigger-shakeout-coming-2018-2
Bình luận: Story 6 January 14th 2018:

Strong Economic Fundamentals showing solid uptrend. No sign of any recession:

L'INDICE IFO DU CLIMAT ÉCONOMIQUE MONDIAL EST AU PLUS HAUT DEPUIS PLUS DE 10 ANS https://www.capital.fr/entreprises-marches/lindice-ifo-du-climat-economique-mondial-est-au-plus-haut-depuis-plus-de-10-ans-1272034
Ifo-Index
Weltwirtschaftsklima so gut wie seit elf Jahren nicht
http://app.wiwo.de/politik/konjunktur/ifo-index-weltwirtschaftsklima-so-gut-wie-seit-elf-jahren-nicht/20961078.html
Results of the ifo World Economic Survey (WES) for the 1st Quarter 2018
ifo World Economic Climate Improves Considerably
https://www.cesifo-group.de/ifoHome/facts/Survey-Results/World-Economic-Survey/World-Economic-Climate/Archive/2018/World-Economic-Climate-20180214.html
Bình luận: Story 7, January 14th 2018:


BRDIGEWATERS MAJOR SHORT PICKS RISING. Please Click on the charts to load comments, facts & figures:

Italy today up by 400 Points or 1,81%:


BRIDGEWATER BIIGEST SHORT, 1,1 bn, TOTAL SA 5% up from the lows:


Allianz also up from the lows:


Banca Intesa San Paolo

https://www.cnbc.com/video/2017/10/13/bridgewaters-ray-dalio-will-lose-his-bet-against-intesa-sanpaolo-ceo.html
Giao dịch bắt đầu: TODAYS UNTOLD BRIDGEWATER STORY:


BRIDGEWATER IS REDUCEING NET SHORT POSITONS.

google: "federal gazzette netto short".

Bridgewater is reducing shorts. But guess how:

1. Selling short positions: Aggressive by high numbers
2. Buying back: "silently, by lower numbers".


So what does this mean?

If you sell high numbers of stocks than you know that you move the markets. If you by small numbers of stocks you try to avoid to move the markets to the upside.

For sure you dont expect shortterm lower stockmarket prices - otherwise you don´t buy back.

The question is:

a) How fast the DAX and all shorted stocks might go up now?
b) At waht point BRIDGEWATER might be forced to increase to buy back short positions?
c) Will this effect the markets going up or to spike to the up side?

Remind: Bridgwater size of shortpositions in DAX heavy weights is still muliple full day turnover.
Giao dịch bắt đầu: Dow clambers 200 points higher as Wall Street dispels inflation jitters
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-on-pace-for-4th-win-in-a-row-as-market-braces-for-inflation-data-2018-02-14?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts
Giao dịch bắt đầu: Dow's rally comes with panic-like buying, as NYSE's Arms falls to lowest level in 15 months https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dows-rally-comes-with-panic-like-buying-as-nyses-arms-falls-to-lowest-level-in-15-months-2018-02-14?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts
Giao dịch bắt đầu: BRIDGEWATER‘s net short position is 22 bn US Dollar not 20 as calculated: https://mobil.n-tv.de/wirtschaft/Hedgefonds-setzt-Milliarden-auf-Kursrutsch-article20286918.html
Giao dịch bắt đầu: Everybody knows now - Top Story on Zerohedge: Bridgewater's European Short Grows To A Massive $22 Billion: Here Are The Targeted Companies
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-14/bridgewaters-european-short-grows-massive-22-billion-here-are-targeted-companies
Giao dịch bắt đầu: Latest news & developments: Please click on the chart to load new facts & figures:

Giao dịch bắt đầu: update: Follow the history of headlines - it´s self explaining. The headlines are showing, how long even Zerohedge needs to understand, what´s going on and how huge the short is (fo a single hedgefonds - and for European Stockmarkets). There are also now traders starting to buy what Dalio sold. And they are right in stocks like Airbus wich made a new all time high on Friday, January 16th.


"Fading Ray" - Why One Trader Is Buying What Bridgewater's Selling
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-14/httpswwwthemacrotouristcomposts20180214bridgewater


Is Bridgewater Betting On Stock Market Disaster?
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-14/bridgewater-betting-stock-market-disaster

Bridgewater's European Short Grows To A Massive $22 Billion: Here Are The Targeted Companies
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-14/bridgewaters-european-short-grows-massive-22-billion-here-are-targeted-companies

Dalio's $13 Billion Short: Bridgewater Unveils Its Biggest Ever Short Position
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-09/dalios-13-billion-short-bridgewater-unveils-its-biggest-ever-short-position

Bridgewater Unveils Its Biggest Short In Years
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-01/bridgewater-unveils-its-biggest-short-years

Bridgewater Goes From Mocking Cash Holders To Warning A "Bigger Shakeout Is Coming" https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-11/bridgewater-goes-mocking-cash-holders-warning-bigger-shakeout-coming

Is Bridgewater A Fraud? Here Are The Troubling Questions Posed By Jim Grant
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-10-11/bridgewater-fraud-here-are-troubling-questions-posed-jim-grant
Giao dịch bắt đầu: BRIDGEWATER, update: Dalio Will Lose on European Bank ‘Big Short,’ Algebris CEO Says https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-19/dalio-will-lose-on-european-bank-big-short-algebris-ceo-says
Giao dịch bắt đầu: Ray Dalios biggest mistake, probably ever:

Italian election’s biggest winner is Europe
https://www.politico.eu/article/italy-election-2018-biggest-winner-is-europe/

vs.

Bridgewater Triples Bets Against Italian Firms to $3 Billion
Hedge fund firm raises bet against Intesa, shorts Atlantia
Bridgewater raises short positions ahead of national elections
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-01/bridgewater-triples-wagers-against-italian-firms-to-3-billion
Giao dịch bắt đầu: Latest update on Bridgewater:

It's Dalio Versus Everyone Else as Money Flows to Europe

I’m surprised. That’s a big bet. Dalio and his team are very confident,” said Rick Herman, managing director of asset allocation who helps oversee about $30 billion at BB&T Institutional Investment Advisors Inc. “That’s definitely out of consensus. European stocks are cheaper, and they also have stronger earnings growth.”
https://www.bloombergquint.com/markets/2018/02/26/it-s-dalio-versus-everyone-else-as-money-flows-to-europe-stocks
Giao dịch bắt đầu: Just to compare: US-Investors sold assets for 41 Bn USD in a full month. BRIDGEWATER sold stocks for at least 22 Bn USD just within a few days only. Same time Europe’s Stockmarket is much smaller than the US Stockmarket.

„Investors staged a near-record exodus from US stocks in February

Funds that focus on U.S. stocks saw investors withdraw $41.1 billion in February, according to market data firm TrimTabs.
The total was the third-largest ever and came during a month when the Dow industrials lost about 4 %“ https://www.cnbc.com/2018/03/06/investors-staged-a-near-record-exodus-from-us-stocks-in-february.html
Giao dịch bắt đầu: High-performance U.S. tech stocks drive Nasdaq to record high
https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/highperformance-us-tech-stocks-drive-nasdaq-to-record-high-1334870
Giao dịch bắt đầu: Treasury Secretary Mnuchin: More countries may be exempted from the tariffs
Canada and Mexico may not be the only two countries getting a break from the U.S. tariffs on imported steel and aluminum.
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin tells CNBC the process will continue to determine whether other countries should be excused from the duties.
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/03/09/treasury-secretary-mnuchin-there-may-be-more-countries-exempted-from-the-tariffs.html
Giao dịch bắt đầu:
Bình luận:
Giao dịch bắt đầu: up date: 6th warning on BRIDGEWATER net short positions

Ý tưởng liên quan

update ?
Phản hồi
SwissView robertogox
@robertogox, very sorry. I made it in the german version only. Will follow up here now.
Phản hồi
SwissView robertogox
Phản hồi
SwissView robertogox
Phản hồi
Hello, @SwissView you are doing a great job in covering this story, thank you.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-14/bridgewaters-european-short-grows-massive-22-billion-here-are-targeted-companies
Phản hồi
@AnRuaN, thx. Its also in the news that the "big short" is now 22 bn and not 12 or 14 like widely anticipated. I emailed this to Daniel Ivandjiiski (Zerohedge since I guess Saturday maybe 3 or 4 times that numbers are much to low. Good that Zerohedge now is bringing the right numbers.
Phản hồi
@AnRuaN, Latest news & developments: Please click on the chart to load new facts & figures. Please try to use translator. This source is available in German language only.

Phản hồi
AnRuaN SwissView
@SwissView, thanks for the info, interesting opinions. I think the short VIX trade had to blow up eventually, that trade was so crowded. The manipulation thesis seems not unlikely at all, i read Peter Thiel also made good money on that VIX spike, you already mentioned Marshall Wace, maybe some more big names teamed up.
Really looking forward on how this plays out after italy election, Europe definitely lagging US thus far.
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