The Real Interpretation
This chart is telling one story:
Money supply growth has massively outpaced real output for decades.
You don't fix this with “policy choices.”
You fix it with real wealth creation, which requires creditworthy borrowers — not printing.
Forward-Looking View
Unless:
That means:
It’s a classic late-cycle fiat symptom.
Here are questions to ask:
Perma Bulls, MMTers, Politicians etc.. can’t answer those without admitting the private-sector engine is weakening.
The less productive output per $ while the markets keep rising & rising will only produce less and less profit per share over time. No matter how much lipstick they put on that pig. Eventually, the economy & markets will CRASH! They always correct themselves in the end.
I got all that from just one chart? NO! The entire spectrum of data.
Here is one

THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥
Let’s keep climbing.
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
This chart is telling one story:
Money supply growth has massively outpaced real output for decades.
- It lines up perfectly with:
- Falling real productivity
- Stagnant wages
- Declining borrower quality
- Rising debt-to-GDP
- Asset inflation decoupling from fundamentals
- The economy shifting from productive borrowing → consumption and asset speculation
You don't fix this with “policy choices.”
You fix it with real wealth creation, which requires creditworthy borrowers — not printing.
Forward-Looking View
Unless:
- Productivity rises
- Real output accelerates
- Borrowers gain real income strength
- Capital flows into productive sectors instead of financial games…this ratio won’t materially rise.
That means:
- Every new dollar is buying less GDP
- Long-term growth potential is fading
- More money chasing fewer productive opportunities
- More fragility in the credit system
It’s a classic late-cycle fiat symptom.
Here are questions to ask:
- If “money creation” creates growth, why is GDP-per-dollar collapsing?
- Why did 40 years of money expansion not produce proportional GDP?
- If borrowers create loans, where are the new productive borrowers?
- Why did QE cause asset inflation but no sustainable GDP boost?
- If the system is “fine,” why does each new dollar buy less real output?
Perma Bulls, MMTers, Politicians etc.. can’t answer those without admitting the private-sector engine is weakening.
The less productive output per $ while the markets keep rising & rising will only produce less and less profit per share over time. No matter how much lipstick they put on that pig. Eventually, the economy & markets will CRASH! They always correct themselves in the end.
- Perma Bulls have no exit strategy and will go down with the boat!
- MMTers will want Gov to borrow and spend EVEN MORE! despite the empirical self-evident fact that print and play doesn't work!
- Politicians will borrow and spend even more, claiming they will "STIMULATE THE ECONOMY"
I got all that from just one chart? NO! The entire spectrum of data.
Here is one

THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥
Let’s keep climbing.
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
Real Macro Economic Investing
patreon.com/Realmacro
patreon.com/Realmacro
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và các ấn phẩm này không nhằm mục đích, và không cấu thành, lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị về tài chính, đầu tư, giao dịch hay các loại khác do TradingView cung cấp hoặc xác nhận. Đọc thêm tại Điều khoản Sử dụng.
Real Macro Economic Investing
patreon.com/Realmacro
patreon.com/Realmacro
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và các ấn phẩm này không nhằm mục đích, và không cấu thành, lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị về tài chính, đầu tư, giao dịch hay các loại khác do TradingView cung cấp hoặc xác nhận. Đọc thêm tại Điều khoản Sử dụng.
