The NZDJPY pair has been trading below (closing 1D candles) the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for nearly a month (since December 20), being supported at the same time by a (dotted) Higher Lows trend-line that started on the May 12 Low. A 1D Death Cross may be potentially formed as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is closing in on the 1D MA200, which adds more weight to the bearish side but we think it is best to trade this based on the clear break-out levels that this pattern (which we've been using with great results since last year) gives.
We are willing to buy for the short-term only upon a 1D candle close above the 1D MA200 and target the bottom of the Resistance Zone. Further break above the top of the Resistance Zone is a buy opportunity on the long-term and we will update upon potential targets then. Similarly, we are willing to sell only if a 1D candle closes below the 80.600 Support and target the top of the Higher Lows Zone (started on August 19 2021).
Great analysis. I see the Yen getting stronger across the market, I would use the bounce off the support to go short. I don't think the pair has much left in the tank to go higher, it has been rejected very aggressively on the way up. Eventually is going to break down the 81 level support.