OKLO Weekly Options Setup – Bearish Reversal Risk (2025-06-11)

📉 OKLO Weekly Options Setup – Bearish Reversal Risk (2025-06-11)
Ticker: OKLO | Bias: 🟥 Moderately Bearish
Entry Timing: Market Open | Confidence: 65%

🔍 Model Consensus Overview
📍 Price: ~$68.00
📈 Short-Term (5-min): Strong momentum, price > EMAs, MACD bullish
📉 Daily Chart: RSI >80, price well above upper Bollinger Band → overbought
📉 News Catalyst: $400M dilutive equity offering adds downside pressure
⚠️ Max Pain: $58 → suggests strong gravitational pull

🧠 AI Model Breakdown
Bullish View (Grok/xAI):
• Strong intraday chart → targets $70+
• Recommends call play (low conviction)

Bearish View (Llama, Gemini, DeepSeek):
• Daily exhaustion + dilution = reversal setup
• Favor puts (strikes around $61) for downside exposure
• Use weekly contracts for high R:R plays on reversion toward $60–$58

✅ Recommended Trade Setup
🎯 Strategy: Naked PUT (short bias)
📍 Strike: $61
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
💵 Entry Price: $0.55
🎯 Profit Target: $1.10 (+100%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.26 (–50%)
📈 Confidence: 65%
⏰ Entry: At open
📏 Size: 1 contract (risk-controlled)

⚠️ Risks to Monitor
• 🚀 Bullish momentum at open could squeeze premiums
• ⏳ Weekly theta decay = fast time burn if reversal is slow
• ⚡ Gaps or price whipsaws could breach stops before thesis plays out
• 📉 Trade only with capital you’re prepared to risk on rapid decay

📉 OKLO is hot but stretched — fading momentum or riding breakout?
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