At what point does anyone decide that the markets have indeed taken a reversal in its trend. We have been in a bear market for a few months, and we all know they are short and swift. There are a lot of technicals on SPY that point towards a bullish end to 2023, but balancing that with knowing that the markets are never certain - we need to watch for key catalyst dates (data) to help us gauge our long term line of thinking. Here is a big picture: 1. Technicals showing bullish patterns 2. Feds hold rates 3. Economy slowing down into a recession 4. Inflation wavering at higher than 2%, remaining sticky 5. Credit card debt hitting 1 trillion 6. Mortgage renewals on the horizon for 2024 and beyond at the higher bank rates.
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