TESLA (TSLA): Profit growth is shrinking, but macro tailwinds still support the stock.
Fundamental Analysis
1. TESLA, Inc. leveled-off due to a mix factors. The decline came after a disappointing Q3 earnings report on Oct 22 that revealed tighter margins and slowing profits despite record quarterly revenue. However, sentiment began to stabilize late in the week as investors anticipated a Federal Reserve rate cut and progress in US–China trade talks.
2. Tesla’s Q3-2025 was a margin-compression story that capped price gains, despite record revenue of 28.1bln USD (+12% YoY), lower ASPs from global price cuts and a ~50% surge in R&D/AI infrastructure spend (Dojo, robotics) squeezed profitability.
3. An AI-led tech rally continued to provide support, and broader U.S. market strength limited Tesla’s downside as major indexes notched record highs ahead of an expected 25 bps Fed cut on Wednesday (Oct 29). Optimism around the Oct 31 Trump–Xi summit in South Korea also helped steady cyclicals and autos into week’s end.
Technical Analysis
4. TSLA has moved sideways for more than a month after rallying out of the previous range. The bullish EMA stack still signals a broader uptrend, suggesting potential continuation once the consolidation phase ends.
5. TSLA may trade between 410–460 until a directional breakout in either direction.
6. However, a drop below the EMA200 would signal a bearish reversal toward the prior sideways zone near the 300 support area.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Fundamental Analysis
1. TESLA, Inc. leveled-off due to a mix factors. The decline came after a disappointing Q3 earnings report on Oct 22 that revealed tighter margins and slowing profits despite record quarterly revenue. However, sentiment began to stabilize late in the week as investors anticipated a Federal Reserve rate cut and progress in US–China trade talks.
2. Tesla’s Q3-2025 was a margin-compression story that capped price gains, despite record revenue of 28.1bln USD (+12% YoY), lower ASPs from global price cuts and a ~50% surge in R&D/AI infrastructure spend (Dojo, robotics) squeezed profitability.
3. An AI-led tech rally continued to provide support, and broader U.S. market strength limited Tesla’s downside as major indexes notched record highs ahead of an expected 25 bps Fed cut on Wednesday (Oct 29). Optimism around the Oct 31 Trump–Xi summit in South Korea also helped steady cyclicals and autos into week’s end.
Technical Analysis
4. TSLA has moved sideways for more than a month after rallying out of the previous range. The bullish EMA stack still signals a broader uptrend, suggesting potential continuation once the consolidation phase ends.
5. TSLA may trade between 410–460 until a directional breakout in either direction.
6. However, a drop below the EMA200 would signal a bearish reversal toward the prior sideways zone near the 300 support area.
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
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Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và các ấn phẩm này không nhằm mục đích, và không cấu thành, lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị về tài chính, đầu tư, giao dịch hay các loại khác do TradingView cung cấp hoặc xác nhận. Đọc thêm tại Điều khoản Sử dụng.