The US Dollar has been trading against the Polish Zloty in a descending channel since November, 2016. The bottom boundary of this long-term pattern was tested on January 25 near 3.31—level which also marks the lowest point since mid-2014. The pair has since edged higher; however, it has failed to move away from the senior channel.
Meanwhile, the pair’s latest wave down has been bounded by two medium-term channels, the most junior of which was being tested today. The pair is expected to make another decline in this session, as a breakout north is likely to be hindered by the combined resistance of the 100– and 200-hour SMAs and the weekly PP circa 1.3430.
However, the bullish sentiment should eventually take over the market, thus allowing for the US Dollar to test a channel line in the 3.38/40 area and subsequently move towards the upper boundary of the most senior pattern.