Gold buyers need $1,880 breakout for confirmation

11 thg 1, 2023

Gold buyers struggle with an 11-month-old horizontal resistance, despite crossing an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from early October 2022. The upside momentum also finds hindrances from the nearly overbought RSI line. However, a looming golden cross, a condition when 50-DMA pierces the 200-DMA from above, joins the metal’s sustained trading above the previous key hurdles to keep XAUUSD bulls hopeful of crossing the $1,880 hurdle. Following that, the May 2022 peak of $1,910 and the late April high surrounding $1,920 could challenge the quote’s upside before directing March 26, 2022 top close to $1,967. In a case where the prices remain firmer past $1,967, highs marked during April and March of the last year, near $1,999 and $2,070 respectively, should lure the bullion buyers.

Alternatively, pullback moves remain less harmful to the upward trajectory unless staying beyond the previous resistance line from October, close to $1,865. On breaking the $1,865 support, Gold sellers could aim for the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the March-September 2022 downturn, around $1,842, which will precede the March 2022 top of $1,808 to limit the short-term downside of the metal. It’s worth noting, however, that the convergence of the 50-DMA and the 200-DMA around the $1,775-70 zone appears a tough nut to crack for the bears afterward before retaking control.

Overall, Gold buyers appear to run out of steam but the bears have a long way to go before acquiring the driver’s seat.