The SSE Composite is looking for a generational trough lands

10 thg 12, 2023

It's looking for a trough in weeks/months for a big bounce up. One final leg down on "Weekly" to wrap things up.! Time + Structure is key here. Seasonality is bullish till May, but structurally looks like another low.! Or this analysis is basically wrong.!

10 thg 12, 2023

Ghi chú

Monthly perspective vs weekly up.!

11 thg 12, 2023

Ghi chú

11 thg 12, 2023

Ghi chú

11 thg 12, 2023

Ghi chú

11 thg 12, 2023

Ghi chú

11 thg 12, 2023

Ghi chú

Zoom in, 2 false break downs.!

11 thg 12, 2023

Ghi chú

This needs to hold up for BABA to go up.!

21 thg 12, 2023

Ghi chú

We have already broken : (Not good for NIO + BABA)
1/ Triangle.
2/ Channel
3/ Trend lines

Good news, is that we are in oversold territory.! ( Good for NIO & BABA)

21 thg 12, 2023

Ghi chú

26 thg 12, 2023

Ghi chú

Technically a dream land for the Bulls, fundamentally something else.!

- Ever probable, applicable & else absolute.!

1/ Textbook 5 waves down + Seasonality Vs Fundamentals + Geopolitical issues
2/ Weekly RSI Diver .!
SSEC vs SPX.!

26 thg 12, 2023

Ghi chú

W1 is (-14%) VS 9-14%) W5

26 thg 12, 2023

Ghi chú

- Ever probable, applicable & else absolute.!

1/ Unless WW 3 starts, we start 1929 recession, geopolitical issues arise and we totally stop rhythming with the past + 40 Years or so since 1992-2023 we are having a major trough a "Generational" one.

2/ With a risk down of (-3%)-(-7%) from this week till April of 2024 .!

3/ I am using SPX/SSEC'S MACD highest reading, represented here with Blue lines.!

4/ 8 signals out there since 1992 .!

5/ The move is between +39% up to +300% with in 15 weeks or 129 Days.!

28 thg 12, 2023

Ghi chú

Live charts.!

tradingview.com/chart/2o39Qq0Y/

tradingview.com/chart/K4hJSUOC/

2 thg 1

Ghi chú

Vortex Indicator's MACD is suggesting that we are in the final stages of this move, with a (-4%)(-5%) (-9%) risk down.! We are in the process of "Trough Making".!

2 thg 1

Ghi chú

Vortex Indicator's MACD "V-" is suggesting that we are in the final stages of this move, with a (-4%)- (-13%) risk down.! We are in the process of "Trough Making".!

3 thg 1

Ghi chú

- Regular MACD'S Divergence with price has an outstanding bullish moves, ranging between +15% up to 485% if and only if we hold this divergence.!

- August 2013 is quite strong fractal.!

- If ever probable, applicable & all else absolute.!

15 thg 1

Ghi chú

Monthly RSI @ 38 if and only if applicable, probable and all else absolute has a "Trough Making " in progress structure. With down risk in RED and Bullish moves are in Green.

15 thg 1

Ghi chú

Closest fractal is this on Monthly which was followed by a +36% Bullish move then major lower low .! 2002-2003 .!

- If and only if applicable, probable and all else absolute

15 thg 1

Ghi chú

Could not fit both in one idea.! "Present"

15 thg 1

Ghi chú

2002-2003


2023

15 thg 1

Ghi chú

Is it a "Trough making " in progress ?

Or this time it's different and we crash big time.!

Technical analysis vs Geopolitical + fundamentals

17 thg 1

Ghi chú

For BABA and NIO holders...

As time passes #4 & # 2 :
1/ Similar RSI. 2/ Similar wave structs 3 troughs(Thus far).
3/ -24 & -41% are also one of the differences.!
4/ SM Averages are the in total different positions .!

17 thg 1

Ghi chú

RSI OF RSI is still hanging on it's diver, will it be invalidated or no yet to be "Observed"

17 thg 1

Ghi chú

*** If and only if applicable, probable and all else absolute ***

The RSI on Monthly is entering a historic buying area a "Generational one". The next (-10%) -(-25%) in Q1 +Q2 of 2024 is the max risk if we rhythm or this TA is basically wrong & Geopolitics runs the show .!

17 thg 1

Ghi chú

Up dating a previous idea... Entering risk box soon or not ?

17 thg 1

Ghi chú

SPX/SSEC

Up dating our MACD'S High readings study:

17 thg 1

Ghi chú

*** If and only if applicable, probable and all else absolute ***
January- March of 2024 is a major trough land for the SSEC, or not and this MACD'S analysis is wrong.!

17 thg 1

Ghi chú

Same idea on a weekly chart...

18 thg 1

Ghi chú

Updating 230 Monthly SMA...

29 thg 1

Ghi chú

29 thg 1

Ghi chú

Will we gap down or not in February ? To make one big "Bear tap" .!

29 thg 1

Ghi chú

RSI'S Readings VS Percentage decline from last major top .!

- Or its a different move this time around.!
- Ever probable, applicable and all else absolute.!

29 thg 1

Ghi chú

Updating...

30 thg 1

Ghi chú

Some observations, food for thought .! Divers between EEM and SSEC .!

- BABA and NIO holders ....

- Big moves were missed big time.!
- Not clear to me how to use these so called related instruments together.!

30 thg 1

Ghi chú

Correlation between EEM/SSEC and BABA.!

30 thg 1

Ghi chú

Updating with RSI + MACD

30 thg 1

Ghi chú

EEM'S ETF is printing the lowest RSI reading with the highest trough out there .!

30 thg 1

Ghi chú

31 thg 1

Ghi chú

RED Circles:

- 2015 BABA leads by 6 Months
- 2019 BABA leads by 15 Months
- 2023 BABA leads by 15 Months ( Or we get a bull's trap.!) "False signal .!

31 thg 1

Ghi chú

Updating..
One signal is out of service .! These divers, in the past, resulted in +24% Bullish move.!

5 thg 2

Ghi chú

1st major support area has been achieved.!

5 thg 2

Ghi chú

Updating...
We have exceeded one of our bearish targets already.!

5 thg 2

Ghi chú

Updating...
Our risk model for BABA + NIO holders is 2ed to July of 1994, with 20% bearish steam in it within 60-90 Days if ever applicable, probable and all else absolute.!

5 thg 2

Ghi chú

Updating the Monthly's RSI...
Past...





Present with risk down off (-8%) in 60 Days.
- If ever applicable, probable and all else absolute.!

5 thg 2

Ghi chú

The big difference here for BABA and NIO holders is we are printing this at a higher price .!

6 thg 2

Ghi chú

EEM is printing a rare signal as such on the chart.!

6 thg 2

Ghi chú

This is the complete opposite of the previous idea.!