Downside Ahead for JPY - COT Strategy Sell

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DISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.

COT Strategy
SHORT
JPY (6J)

My COT strategy has me on alert for short trades in 6J if we get a confirmed bearish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.

COT Commercial Index: Sell Signal

Extreme Positioning: Commercials at extreme in long positioning, most long since 2021. Small Specs at extreme in long positioning, most long since 2021. All this is bearish.

Valuation: Overvalued VS Treasuries & Gold

OI Analysis: Upmove since July has seen CM's quickly shift to strong short position = bearish.

True Seasonal: Strong seasonal tendency for this currency to go down into October.

COT Small Spec Index: Sell Signal
Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist, POIV & Stochastic Sell Signals

Remember, this is not a "Short Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside.

Good luck & good trading.