AAL DAL LUV BA Time to fly is approaching
As everyone knows, the airlines have taken probably the worst of the hit from the pandemic.
If you take a look at the weekly for all the top airlines and BA, they all look very similar.
I present American because I like feel like this chart has one has more defined risk areas due to recent price action and currently sits at one of its strongest supports in the history of the stock
From highest time frames to lowest, here is my bullish case:
Monthly: RSI has never been this oversold in its history, even at the near collapse in 2008
Weekly:You cannot miss the bullish divergences on weekly RSI. It is rare to see on a weekly chart.
MACD bottoming nicely.
Daily chart shows lots of incoming accumulation volume starting the end of April. After the Buffet news, it seems lots of retail investors dumped their stock into stronger hands.
Bullish divergences on RSI began Middle of March. Almost 2 months of divergences will make this thing pop strong and fast when it is ready.
Admittedly, the market structure is still bearish. Lower highs since the start of the fall with the last high at 13 dollars.
What intrigues me now though is this second bounce off 9.08 lows. It may not ultimately be the double bottom we hope for, but that 9 dollar mark created a defined stop loss.
I am playing AAL here. If it is to break below 9 dollars and close the week at that point, it is a clear sell with reassessment at 7.80-7.95. Break that and ill be a buyer at 5.25
First target here is 15.50.
This trade needs 1-2 months, and possibly to August. It is a buy and hold. When fall comes around, it is IMPORTANT to assess due to the potential of the second wave of Covid-19. If it hits again, run for the hills because the second time around we will have a full 6-8 months of Corona season, debilitating all airlines and probably bringing them all back to all time lows, in this case $1.50.
If you do not get greedy on this trade, you will get a 50% return within 3 months. It is a gamble after that until a vaccine is out there.
If you take a look at the weekly for all the top airlines and BA, they all look very similar.
I present American because I like feel like this chart has one has more defined risk areas due to recent price action and currently sits at one of its strongest supports in the history of the stock
From highest time frames to lowest, here is my bullish case:
Monthly: RSI has never been this oversold in its history, even at the near collapse in 2008
Weekly:You cannot miss the bullish divergences on weekly RSI. It is rare to see on a weekly chart.
MACD bottoming nicely.
Daily chart shows lots of incoming accumulation volume starting the end of April. After the Buffet news, it seems lots of retail investors dumped their stock into stronger hands.
Bullish divergences on RSI began Middle of March. Almost 2 months of divergences will make this thing pop strong and fast when it is ready.
Admittedly, the market structure is still bearish. Lower highs since the start of the fall with the last high at 13 dollars.
What intrigues me now though is this second bounce off 9.08 lows. It may not ultimately be the double bottom we hope for, but that 9 dollar mark created a defined stop loss.
I am playing AAL here. If it is to break below 9 dollars and close the week at that point, it is a clear sell with reassessment at 7.80-7.95. Break that and ill be a buyer at 5.25
First target here is 15.50.
This trade needs 1-2 months, and possibly to August. It is a buy and hold. When fall comes around, it is IMPORTANT to assess due to the potential of the second wave of Covid-19. If it hits again, run for the hills because the second time around we will have a full 6-8 months of Corona season, debilitating all airlines and probably bringing them all back to all time lows, in this case $1.50.
If you do not get greedy on this trade, you will get a 50% return within 3 months. It is a gamble after that until a vaccine is out there.
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