Initiation. Accumulation. Pump

4 thg 9, 2023

How to trade coins after listing? Here is logic of IAP model
APTUSDT

When people get tokens after airdrop or launchpad, most likely on first candle we will see seller pressure. This model works in general only for fundamental projects, where even people who get tokens for free will hold it for long term. Because we got a lot of examples when this model doesn't work and price crashed under listing price. Also we need pay attention in what market period we see this listing. Because if it's a beginning of bear market this model most likely also will not works.

Initiation - Formation price imbalance in the broad price range at the time of listing
coins can be interpreted as an initiating impulse, who doesn't leave fair traded price zones on ways of its formation and in here will be be nearest target. We can use Fib from the bottom to the top candle before correction or just count only body of first Daily close candle.

Accumulation - Price reaction to price imbalance initiating impulse is
a direct indication of the presence or lack of accumulation character on the chart. Zones for accumulation before pump will be classic 0.618 / 0.71/ 0.86 levels by fib.

Pump - last stage of this model is a Pump, minimal target for this trade can be -0.27 and -0.618 level by fib where you can fix profit. On this example with Aptos it was over 500% pump. After pump depends of market stage and cycle price can continue parabolic move up or correction again to 0.5 or 0.618 level by same fib.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/oxH9ffcZ/


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