AUDUSD: You Think That Was A HUGE Wave? You Aint Seen NothinYet!

5 thg 1, 2018

First this is a LONG TERM forecast and not a comment about whether it is time to sell or not on this current strong move up. I am not trying to answer that question on this post but rather to give a "roadmap" on what to expect going forward. Once you have a roadmap, then you can find your way to the destination! And that destination is sitting MUCH, MUCH higher! The wave up that just occurred (and may still be heading higher!) will look small compared to what's coming! The trick is how to navigate the twist and turns that will undoubtedly happen along the way to the final destination. My lower level charts and analysis does that and does it very well. But this chart in this post is only meant to be a higher level chart.

Analysis

What we are seeing play out here is a VERY LARGE bullish diagonal. Remember that this pair is in a corrective phase that is following a HUGE impulse wave down. This corrective phase has only lasted 2 years whereas that impulsive phase lasted for 4 years and 5 months. What we do know is that corrective phases last on an order of about twice as long as impulsive phases if not longer. So we can assume that this correction is far from being over! That being the case, this tells us what we should be looking for is wave counts that support the fact that the correction is ongoing and that we should not be looking for a resumption of that overall down trend anytime soon.

That's the basis for the way I see this correction playing out. And thus why my projections favor more...MUCH MORE move to the upside coming! And according to my prediction, that VERY VERY LARGE move will probably commence sometime this year. Maybe late 2nd to 3rd quarter.

Wave Analysis
So what I am counting here is that the overall wave C of (4) has already started and the waves W and X of that C have already completed with wave X having hit the bottom trend line of this diagonal and bounced as you see what just happened. This current wave up is just the initial move up of that wave C of (4). A wave (1) of C most likely though I've yet to label it as so.

This analysis is being provided here as an educational post and is a preview of my soon-to-be-released 2018 Guide To The Forex Markets.