21st Dec ’23 - BankNifty leads from the front, stance is NEUTRAL
BankNifty Analysis
I initially thought the wolf in the sheep’s costume was NiftyIT today spoiling the fun of the Bears. The real culprit was BankNifty - the way it defended its turf today was more than amazing. Even though we had a lower opening, HDFCBANK was staying strong at one end. You know pretty well that HDFCBK alone can drive up/down the index as its weight on the index is manipulatively sizeable.
4mts chart link - click here
Just like a Tug-of-War, HDFCBK was at the rear end acting as the anchor. It bolted itself to the ground and ensured BN was not slipping. Somehow it worked. The first thing BN did was to retest the lower end of the ascending channel i.e. between 10.07 to 10.55. Once it broke out - it retested the same line from a support perspective i.e. b/w 13.55 to 14.11. The 2nd test was rejected which gave it massive momentum to break free (upside). The next stop was right at the top end of the channel i.e. b/w 14.47 to 15.19. You might have to see the encircled portion in the chart to know what I am referring to.
63mts chart link - click here
Can you believe - All the candles today were GREEN. We started at the lower end of the channel and ended at the top boundary stopped only by the bell. Today’s price action almost nullified yesterday’s move and seeing the way BN fought back, I wish to change my stance to neutral for tomorrow. Will go bearish once 47400 gives away and will go bullish if the ATM is taken out. The options premium did not have any excesses today indicating that a big move may not be expected - will update you via TV minds if I see something interesting tomorrow.
I initially thought the wolf in the sheep’s costume was NiftyIT today spoiling the fun of the Bears. The real culprit was BankNifty - the way it defended its turf today was more than amazing. Even though we had a lower opening, HDFCBANK was staying strong at one end. You know pretty well that HDFCBK alone can drive up/down the index as its weight on the index is manipulatively sizeable.
4mts chart link - click here
Just like a Tug-of-War, HDFCBK was at the rear end acting as the anchor. It bolted itself to the ground and ensured BN was not slipping. Somehow it worked. The first thing BN did was to retest the lower end of the ascending channel i.e. between 10.07 to 10.55. Once it broke out - it retested the same line from a support perspective i.e. b/w 13.55 to 14.11. The 2nd test was rejected which gave it massive momentum to break free (upside). The next stop was right at the top end of the channel i.e. b/w 14.47 to 15.19. You might have to see the encircled portion in the chart to know what I am referring to.
63mts chart link - click here
Can you believe - All the candles today were GREEN. We started at the lower end of the channel and ended at the top boundary stopped only by the bell. Today’s price action almost nullified yesterday’s move and seeing the way BN fought back, I wish to change my stance to neutral for tomorrow. Will go bearish once 47400 gives away and will go bullish if the ATM is taken out. The options premium did not have any excesses today indicating that a big move may not be expected - will update you via TV minds if I see something interesting tomorrow.
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