27 Feb ’24 — Banks are still neutral, but in the Bearish Channel

BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty is still managing to stay below the bearish trend top line and that means we are in the bearish channel as of now. You might wonder if we are in the bearish channel - why is our stance still neutral? The answer is that, even though we have entered the bearish channel, BN has not shown any signs of breakdown. We are still knocking the resistance level and trying to keep up with Nift50’s direction.

4mts chart
Over the last 2 months, most of my directional bets have gone awkwardly wrong. On investigation, I came to know that it is because of NiftyIT. The level of uncertainty and the swing range of IT stocks are really taking a toll on the stability of Nifty50. Either we need to have FnO enabled on NiftyIT so that we can hedge and tide over the problems it is causing or the Banks have to take charge and cast them out.

63mts chart
On the higher timeframe, BN is still following the double-top pattern with the trades being conducted in the bearish channel. To go bullish, BN has to reclaim the 47465 resistance whereas to go bearish all it has to do is just fall another 650 to 700 points. We wish to look out of neutral trades till the directional clues emerge.

Algo Trading

Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 17460. We closed the trades prematurely as 85% of the day’s target was hit within 11.29 and did not want to risk the lead.
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