The US election is getting closer
The US election is getting closer, with all statistical sources showing Trump leading the race, but there is still a large amount of uncertainty surrounding the US election.
Datalab options data shows that the flat option IV for BTC is 57% for the election week, compared to only 47% for the week before the election, with the market giving a 10% IV spread for the election.
The current term structure also illustrates an implicit market view that the market will not be too volatile until after the election. Market volume also suggests this, and even with a good week of gains, large investors are reluctant to bet on continued gains.
Datalab options data shows that the flat option IV for BTC is 57% for the election week, compared to only 47% for the week before the election, with the market giving a 10% IV spread for the election.
The current term structure also illustrates an implicit market view that the market will not be too volatile until after the election. Market volume also suggests this, and even with a good week of gains, large investors are reluctant to bet on continued gains.
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