The $5000 barrier

Cập nhật
Zooming out to the daily chart makes we wonder if it will take a while to crack the $5000 barrier. Psychologically it is a very significant number: Half way to $10000, a very nice round number.

Using correlations with random charts is not TA, but this one makes my superstitious brain wonder: twitter.com/JamieSaettele/status/904062293230669824
Ghi chú
Now BTC has touched the long term uptrend line. ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
These drops are habit now? ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
Let's see if this fractal plays out over the next days: ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
We reached $4630 and bounced. BTC is currently testing support at $4480.

ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
Seems to form a wedge. Currently, I expect another push to $4700 and then a dip to $4300. ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
Looks like the bottom is in. ETH has broken out of the downtrend, so BTC should follow soon. ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
RSI divergence is a sign of reversal.
ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
I guess ETH just really needed that bounce at $200. Amazing reversal. And just like that BTC looks quite bullish again.

ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
That bullish wedge kinda realized, but lost too much steam. ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
$3400 still looks likely. ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
Did not reach $3400, but maybe another downswing comes. Meanwhile it forms a bullish wedge on a larger timeframe. ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
Some chinese whale bought a big amount of BTC in OKCoin and started a little rally. Still, the volume is not enough for a big rally. It turned our wedge in a bull flag, though. That bull flag should retrace to $3400.

ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
Back over $4000. Half way to $5000 from $3000 three days ago.
Ghi chú
Currently forming another bull flag. After a third impulse, we often see a larger correction. ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
Oy, that breakout failed. Time to decide, Bitcoin. ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
Bitcoin rejected at the downtrend line, so the downtrend continues.

ảnh chụp nhanh

That $5000 barrier is far far away now.
Ghi chú
ETH has closed above its downtrend line, but BTC is still below. ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
Breakout. Has the downtrend officially ended? I would like to see more volume.

ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
BTC seems to be due for a correction now. ảnh chụp nhanh

However, ETH looks due for another push and they correlate...
Ghi chú
A bounce at $4000 it pretty important. If support breaks there, we might drop a lot lower. ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
To break through $4400 will probably some serious volume. ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
BTC needs some upwards push soon or we have ended that uptrend. ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
At this point it looks totally ambiguous to me. ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
The market realized that Bitcoin Gold and Segway2x hardforks are coming. People imagine a similar win like with Bitcoin Cash and everybody buys BTC. People even dump their alts. This could lead well beyond $5000.

ảnh chụp nhanh
Ghi chú
Above $5000. I expect $6000 this week. ảnh chụp nhanh
Fractal

Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm