5th wave hunting

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5th wave hunting only for learning purposes.

Ghi chú

now as wave 3 is 1,27% of wave 1, we look entry on retrace of wave 3. This will be invalidated when candle will be closed under 3340.

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Bearish candle on 30min charts and our hunting must be suspended.

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But i observe situation further.

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For me situation is inconvenient to hunt but i will observe situation of curiosity:)

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Bearish candles - 30min and 1h charts

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Ok now longs should be taken but with wide SL much under 3000.

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If wave 5th up will be build first target is area around 4000

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so wave 3rd minimum equal to wave 5th, but wave 5th may be also 1.5, 2 or more longer than 3rd, or 1st and 3rd combined if wave 3rd is only 127% of wave 1st. I know it's complicated;)

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Second TP area is higher and wider 4200-4500.

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Bullish candles engulfing 30min chart should give market more confidence in growth.

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4h chart bullish candle was retraced only around 40%, that is also good sign for longs.

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That's funny. The question what will be with longs, when Chinese traders will wake up. Huh, wave down is possible. So could only technical analysis in such circumctances help in trading? Everyone should answer for Yourself.

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But as this idea/analyze is only for learning, from my side all is fine. No nerves, and without any real long position taken i can go to sleep:) Maybe Japanese could build that wave up to 4000 or more? I will check this tommorow morning.

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If someone of You doesn't listen me yestarday that i write only ducational, and have taken position in this hunting, then should move SL to entry point:)

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Oh by the way, Chinese dumpers out of ammo, or chinese media FUD out of ammo too?:)

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Rising wedge here. Very bullish, but resistance 4000-4100 is near.

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This potential wave 5th doesn't behave like wave 5th, this shape can be correction of wave 1 or A(corrective). So now half of position should be closed and the rest stay with SL in entry.

Ghi chú

Ok definitely Chinese have some stuff to dump or FUDsters publish their pamphlets;). My hunting for now is over. I will return to hunting, when i see on chart signs of another potential 5th wave.

Ghi chú

Huh now i seel potential of wave 5th in this move. Will be invalidated when 15min bar will close much above 3740. Of course short position. Only for learning!:)

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I see 3 possible targets for this wave: 3500, 3400 and 3200

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and fourth target (less realistic than three others but who knows) is around 3000

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Shorts here are justified by bearsh engulfing of 2 last candles @4h chart

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Also in perspective of chart 4h we can catch wave that could go minimum to 3000-3100 area.

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In this case invalidation wil occure when area 3900-4100 will be broken.

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Next wider targets for this wave down may be 2600-2500 area (for now less possible), and 1900 (almost impossible, i say almost - i give now 0.01% chance to that length:))

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After market have hited 3512 (not 3500, sometimes few dollars are lacking) SL should go to entry point. But this can close also potentialy good short position.

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So i expect now this to happen:

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This hunting must be over for now @ small timeframes. But for 4h chart if BTCUSD is under 4000 waves down are still possible.

ormin79

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1 to 1 correction on 15min chart

bởi ormin79

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