Potential Bitcoin Price Movement Based on Previous Cycles
Greetings crypto community! I wanted to share an interesting observation about potential bitcoin price movement based on fractals from past market cycles.
- In 2019, BTC was 42% below its previous all-time high (ATH). Currently, in 2024, it is 41% below the 2021 ATH.
- In 2019, BTC dumped 73% from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. It is currently trading at the 0.786 level.
- In 2020, BTC was 73% down 322 days before the 3rd halving. Currently, it is 100% up 322 days before the upcoming 4th halving.
- There are similar price "boxes" between 2019 and 2024 - 13K-14K back then versus 50k-52K now, and 4K-5k versus FWB:21K-23k.
If these fractals play out similarly, we could potentially see BTC in the 22k-25K range soon.
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