14 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on FinNifty - flavorless Expiry today

FinNifty Weekly Analysis
We have fallen 2.31% ~ 464pts between the last expiry and today. This is definitely a good start for the bears. Unlike Nifty, Finnifty has managed to form a lower low on the 1hr TF. The first major support comes at 19421.



FinNifty Today Analysis
Due to HDFCBK’s weightage on Finnifty, we closed a 0.1% lower than banknifty today i.e at 0.3% ~ 66pts down.Chartwise today’s recovery was not as dramatic as Nifty50 and provides further room for bears to play.

From an expiry perspective, the options premiums were not at all exciting even during the opening minutes. Since we had a good gap down, the expectation was that PE strikes would explode in premiums - but that did not happen. Guess the big-boys came prepared not to drive down the prices further. Retail traders like you and me were in the dark and had to guess the direction.

Tomorrow will be a trading holiday as we are celebrating our 77th Independence Day - 15th Aug. This was the reason we had FinNifty expiry on Monday instead of Tuesday this week.
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