Cotton Breaks Bearish Trend

Cotton has been in a nice uptrend since the lows back in June, and although we have seen some chop recently, we are still trading in this wedge with defined support and resistance. Looking more at the technical side, Cotton broke out of a bearish trend on September 28th, and is looking strong as we are entering Q4.

Old Resistance, new support:

Looking at this chart, there was strong overhead resistance from the January high, and when the market started trying to take out that level, we saw sellers’ step in and bring the market back down. The market broke back out above this level on September 25th, and now this level will act as support that bulls will want to defend to keep process moving higher. This also lines up nicely with the strong trendline support, and a break below this level could send us back to neutral territory.

Overhead Resistance:

As this market is trending higher, there is still prices that need to be achieved to make the next leg higher. There is strong overhead technical resistance going back to the May ’22 highs, and this level has been tested and sold into three times. If the support pocket can hold, the re-test of this resistance point will be critical in judging the prices moving forward. Another rejection here could spark additional selling which could break the trend to the downside.

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Chart PatternsTechnical IndicatorsTrend Analysis

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