DOTUSD Broke above the 2 year Falling Wedge!

14 thg 1, 2023

Polkadot (DOTUSD) just broke above the Falling Wedge pattern that was in effect since early 2021. This 2-year pattern has been basically dictating the pace of the current Bear Cycle but as you see on this 1W chart, it eventually ran out of room, was trading tightly within its top (Lower Highs trend-line) and bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) in the past 2 months and eventually broke to the upside.

This alone is a major bullish development but we would like to see a closing above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) in order to confirm the end of the Bear Cycle. If broken, it will be the first time the price is above the 1D MA200 in more than a year (since January 05 2022). In that case, the Fibonacci retracement levels can be targeted in succession, with the 0.5 (Fib) at 15.50 estimated to get reached by August 2023.

A strong sign that shows that the market has priced its bottom is the 1W RSI, which has been flat on its Support since June 2022 and also broke above the Lower Highs trend-line that started all the way back to the February 2021 High.


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