We're again near the latest ATH, as BTCUSD and ETHUSD. In the case of ETHEUR, the psychological resistance would be 1600 EUR. As described on previous analysis, the flat top triangle (blue) which goes from mid January to early February would signal that prices would go up to 1613 EUR. However, a really disturbing ascending wedge (red polyline) has been forming immediately after the flat top triangle was completed. As can be noticed, we're at the last stage of this wedge, so keep your stop-loss thresholds tight.
Now the question would be this: will this wedge be completed when reaching 1600 EUR? Will the upside halt when reaching its previous ATH? Will a new ATH be set between the previous and 1613 EUR? To answer this questions, I've came up with this hypothesis: Considering that the top of the flat top triangle would be a major support (that is, the zone between 1183 to 1210 EUR) and that the height of the ascending wedge signals the theoretical pullback after the pattern is completed, I decided to project the height of the wedge from the top of the triangle. The result is the hypothetical resistance level of the current uptrend, which would be located on the previous ATH (1548 EUR) or a little bit higher (1572 EUR).
Though the height of the flat top triangle signals that prices could go up to 1613 EUR, what happens between 1548 EUR, 1572 EUR, and 1613 EUR for now is a complete mystery for me.
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