ETHUSD: 442 Inside Bar Trigger Setting Up For Low 500s Target.

14 thg 7, 2018

ETHUSD update: Price has tested the 423 reversal zone boundary for a second time. Following BTC, it appears this market is also gearing up to establish a higher low formation. There is now a new inside bar in place. If the next candle takes out the 442 high, it will activate a buy trigger and The next leg higher can run into the resistance zone around the low 500's.

Earlier today I published an article on S.C. that touched on the inverted head and shoulders pattern that is in progress in the BTC market. Price is currently establishing the right shoulder and missed my limit buy order by 5 points. If BTC manages to maintain the higher low, it will signal a new wave of bullish momentum in general.

An inverted head and shoulders pattern in BTC is a significant sign of broader strength. This is the type of pattern that can be anticipated in a high probability reversal location like BTC has been in for some time.

And if BTC chooses to test 6850, that would coincide with this market testing the 494 to 518 minor resistance (.618 of recent bearish swing relative to 548 high). That would also result in the break of the more recent bearish trend line in the 470s which further adds to the bullish argument.

What makes this market even more compelling is the attractiveness of the reward/risk. Risk can be measured from the 417 low or 392 low, which ever one is more in line with your tolerance. From current levels that is anywhere from 14 to 40 points of risk while the reward potential is at least 60 points. At S.C., this certainly fits within the parameters of our swing trade criteria.

In summary, like I have been writing in my S.C. articles, a market that is going through the bottoming process will be noisy. Understanding how to use technical analysis to measure probabilities is key to navigating an environment like this.

Keep in mind, the inside bar low can also be taken out which would generate a sell trigger. This is when you must consider the probability of the broader location and is part of the reason why we place more weight on the buy trigger.

Consider focusing on tools that help you anticipate rather than react. Support and resistance and candle sticks are two elements that offer a better read compared to your standard oscillator. Often the best opportunities start out as the ugliest prices.