Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the EUR/CAD currency pair:
**Short-term (next few days/weeks):**
* The pair is expected to test the resistance zone around 1.5000, which could lead to a rollback towards support levels. * A decisive bullish breakout above 1.5026 could suggest the end of the downtrend. * The trend appears to be up on the four-hour and one-hour charts, with intraday support at 1.14928. * Considering these points, I expect the price to **go up** in the short-term, potentially breaking out above 1.5026.
**Long-term (next few months):**
* Both the ECB and BoC are expected to cut interest rates, which could influence the EUR/CAD pair. * The ECB's potential aggressive rate cut could provide upside for EUR/CAD. * The Canadian Dollar is facing downside pressure due to external factors such as the US election risk and lower Crude Oil prices. * Considering these points, I expect the price to **go up** in the long-term, as the ECB's rate cut and external factors could bias EUR/CAD to rise.
Overall, both short-term and long-term analyses suggest that the EUR/CAD pair is expected to go up, driven by the potential ECB rate cut, external factors affecting the Canadian Dollar, and the current technical setup.
Result: [Method0] ST=Up LT=Up
Analysis Method(1)
Based on the analysis of the provided data, here are the expected price movements for the EUR/CAD currency pair:
**Short-term (next few days to a week):**
* The price is expected to **go up** slightly in the short term, with a daily high forecast of $1.509578 for October 31, 2024. * However, there is a prediction that the EUR/CAD rate might **fall** to around $1.493272 in the next week.
**Long-term (next month to a year):**
* The price is expected to **stay the same** with minimal changes in November 2024, with a forecasted range between 1.502 and 1.509. * Looking ahead to 2025, the EUR/CAD rate is forecasted to **go up** slightly, with a predicted rate of around 1.510 in October 2025.
It's worth noting that the market sentiment is currently bearish, but technical indicators show mixed signals, which may indicate some uncertainty in the market. The 14-day RSI is neutral, and the current rate is above the 200-day SMA but below the 50-day SMA, which may suggest a potential reversal or consolidation in the short term.
Result: [Method1] ST=Up LT=Up
Analysis Method(2)
Based on the analysis provided, here are my conclusions:
**Short-term (next few days):** The price is expected to **stay the same** with a slight fluctuation. The predicted range of 1.453 to 1.542 suggests a relatively stable market with minor price movements.
**Long-term (remainder of 2024 and into 2025):** The price is expected to **stay the same** with no significant downtrend or uptrend predicted. The overall trend is stable with minor fluctuations.
It's worth noting that the forecast for November 2024 suggests a slight increase in the rate, but this is not a strong indication of a major uptrend. Overall, the analysis suggests a stable market with minor price movements in both the short-term and long-term.
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