EURCAD spent most of last week in retracement, following a failed breakout attempt on Friday 2nd August. A clue to this was in the Volume.
At the first day of August a bullish pin bar formed on higher Volume off the 20D MAV. The Volume to breakout on the next day was lower, and yet the spread 4x's larger. This means there would not be a sustained push by the Buyers, and quickly the move fizzles out, as the Sellers take control.
These false breakouts act as Bull Traps, and invariably see price reenter the consolidation.
As such looking for a price move back towards the 200MAV at 1.4725. This would be at the limit of the weekly ATR (which has been 250 pips in the last 2 weeks).
If we consider an Intermarket Analysis, Crude Oil seems to be in an uptick and likely to go higher next week. Given that this commodity is a close proxy for the Loonie, lends an argument to a fall in EURCAD.
Thông tin và ấn phẩm không có nghĩa là và không cấu thành, tài chính, đầu tư, kinh doanh, hoặc các loại lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị khác được cung cấp hoặc xác nhận bởi TradingView. Đọc thêm trong Điều khoản sử dụng.