Bảng Anh/Đô la ÚcGiá lên
GBPAUD. unified gartley
Cập nhật
A potential unified gartley is setting up.
Trade plan: enter long@1.82473 with sl @1.80718(58.5 pips) and tp @1.81303(117 pips).
Statistics:
Over the past 12 (2007 is the first available date) years a pattern with these B-point and C-point ratios appears 8 times on GBPAUD,30M if the swings are identified with prex(6) algorithm. The best expectancy of 0.5915 of the Risk is acheived if the entry is placed @0.7XA (limit order), stoploss is placed @0.9XA and target is twice greater than risk distance. Historically average RR ratio is 2.18, the probability of win is 50.0%
Comment below if you think it is a good idea to share statistics of a pattern in description. Let me know if I am to do it in future:)
Trade plan: enter long@1.82473 with sl @1.80718(58.5 pips) and tp @1.81303(117 pips).
Statistics:
Over the past 12 (2007 is the first available date) years a pattern with these B-point and C-point ratios appears 8 times on GBPAUD,30M if the swings are identified with prex(6) algorithm. The best expectancy of 0.5915 of the Risk is acheived if the entry is placed @0.7XA (limit order), stoploss is placed @0.9XA and target is twice greater than risk distance. Historically average RR ratio is 2.18, the probability of win is 50.0%
Comment below if you think it is a good idea to share statistics of a pattern in description. Let me know if I am to do it in future:)
Giao dịch đang hoạt động
orders executed. 50% to hit the target based on stats:)Đóng lệnh: dừng lỗ
It's been a 50% setup. We had 8 in historical collection, now we have nine. This one changes the statistics:If traded the way explained on the chart there's a 44.44% probability to hit tp with an average RR of 1.92. Now expectancy becomes lower (0.2967R) which is still worth trading. But the probability of win is low to my taste...
Good news is that there's one more profitable way of trading it: entry @0.8xa, stoploss @1.1xa and target twice greater than risk distance. In this case historically there's a 50% probability to hit tp with average RR of 2.13 and math expectancy of 0.5664 of R. Good luck
Giao dịch đang hoạt động
Re-enter based on the second variation.Ghi chú
Here's the screenshot with trade levels: prntscr.com/oxpk0jGhi chú
Here's the statistics file for GBPAUD, 30M: prntscr.com/oy69i6
Bài đăng liên quan
Thông báo miễn trừ trách nhiệm
Thông tin và ấn phẩm không có nghĩa là và không cấu thành, tài chính, đầu tư, kinh doanh, hoặc các loại lời khuyên hoặc khuyến nghị khác được cung cấp hoặc xác nhận bởi TradingView. Đọc thêm trong Điều khoản sử dụng.