Okay world. I was wrong on this one.
Aside from the "the market is MaNIPulATED" froth out there, here's what I missed (in the short-term view).
Back in Feb, the reason the consolidation made sense was because it was consolidating along a relatively strong support line, which was the ATH price as of late January before the big boom. I missed that because the Fib lines completely took over my visual space. Note to self, colorful indicators can hide other meaningful data.
Secondly, the consolidation range in Feb was tighter than when I had posted. This is not a definitive issue, but generally speaking, the tighter the consolidation price range, the better the chance for a jump up.