NZDUSD: Fully Loaded

7 thg 7, 2016

New Zealand came out with news that shocked the market concerning expanding credit to investors, which could fuel their housing boom: bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-07-07/rbnz-may-extend-property-investor-lending-limits-beyond-auckland

Both New Zealand and Australia are experiencing a housing boom. Australia is in an early expansion territory.; however, my fundamental view for New Zealand is still not good. I believe that Australia has better prospects for an expansionary environment than New Zealand. New Zealand relies on milk prices, and the GDT index for milk keeps falling, which hurts the bottom line of their economy.

When compared tot he US dollar, it is more prudent to stick with the dollar.

The reason why the title says fully loaded is because I am loaded with multiple short positions as NZDUSD went, accumulating dollars with it.

My hope from here is that the dust settles and NZD resumes its fall. Otherwise, I will have to change my view point or revise the situation.

Need a 4 hour close to be bearish

7 thg 7, 2016

Ghi chú

I think NZDUSD is bullish on the daily chart. We haven't broken that trendline up yet. I am probably on the wrong side of the market. I will take this loss. I will get stopped out if high is breached, but that is ok. Here is the bullish view.

7 thg 7, 2016

Ghi chú

Alternative view supporting the bulls:

8 thg 7, 2016

Ghi chú

Here are my fundamental analysis of the New Zealand Dollar in this link. The pattern in this pair was identified as a failed pattern that broke because of the news last night, sending the currency roaring; however, my fundamental direction remains the same. I will re-attack the NZDUSD pair again at the right time, technically, later.

8 thg 7, 2016

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