Brief Analysis——OP

28 thg 12, 2023

The Dencun upgrade will be officially launched next spring. It will further expand the capacity of ETH and L2 by implementing the improvement recommendations called EIP-4844. After adoption, Ethereum Layer 2’s gas costs will be greatly reduced and scalability improved. In this bull market, SOL has regained its reputation as the killer of Ethereum with its ultra-high user experience and ultra-low gas fees. But after Dencun, Optimism and Arbitrum will significantly reduce gas fees, and the advantage of Solan will be reduced.

Today we take a look at L2’s representative, Optimism. Since last weekend, ETH and L2 tokens have risen sharply. The market is starting to price Dencun. We have conducted fundamental analysis on many block chains, mainly MC/FDV, MC/TVL and 24h Volume/MC. Among them, Solana’s values are 0.76, 34.55, 0.0174, respectively, while OP is 8.43 ,171.65,0.0010. These data reflect that OP's market value is undervalued compared to on-chain activities, and compared to SOL, it is more suitable for investment. Of course, we also know that L2 tokens lack utility support for paying gas fees. But for blockchain, Decentralization, Security, and Scability are still the core.

Within Layer 2, there are also different categories based on ZK-Rollup and Optimistic Rollup. are in a competitive relationship with each other. Optimism launched OP Stack this year to extend its business scope to B-side users. Enables project to easily build their own Layer 2 networks. OP Stack has attracted many large entities, such as Coinbase, Binance, etc., and many established Layer 1 have also begun to consider the feasibility of expanding to Layer 2 through OP Stack. Judging from the disclosed cooperation content, the partner will provide funds to Optimism and maintain the support of OP token.

Having said so much about fundamentals, let’s look at OP’s performance on technical aspects and indicators. We use the green range to mark the main gains of OP in this bull market. It can be seen very clearly on the WTA indicator that during these two round of rises, there were so many blue bars representing whales. And after the first green range, there were no destructive candles and the price resumed rising after a few days of correction, which was good for the bulls. The current bullish trend is healthy. Judging from the ME indicator, OP also maintains a bullish trend, and the purple wavy area shows signs of expansion.



Switching to the 4h level, yesterday's rise is still supported by whales. Although whales also participated in the trading during the subsequent callback, the magnitude of the callback has only been -6.71% so far, and there has been no destructive candle. There is a high probability that this round of rise will not end. Likewise, the ME indicator shows the continuation of the bullish trend.

To sum up, OP is a token with relatively good fundamentals and a clear development line of route map. The current valuation is at a low level and is suitable for value investment. From a technical perspective, there is a high probability that this round of rising prices will continue.

Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies.

Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.