staurum

7 June 2016 Notes

FX:XAUUSD   Vàng / Đô la Mỹ
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Weekly: partly have crooked looking up, while some are flat and some are down. It has turned to neutral though with tiny bull bias. If it stays above last week's closing (1244) and close higher, then the indicators are good to go higher, or else lower. Gold stays within its mid range (120x/121x -- 130x/131x). Note that W-midbband and W-MA10 is at 1251.8)

Daily: with 6June candle closing higher (even if it s only $1 higher), the upward momentum is maintained. Hopefully today too, so that we have a nice stronger, more confirmed bullish bias. Bears are now less likely though. Although gold managed to cut above DMA 21 (1243) and is in the upper range (120x - 126x), the tests are DMA50 (1246.65) and DMA34 (1251.8), with the floors being at 1224 (DMA10, DMA100, and D-midBband). We hope the tests can pass soon taking advantage of the threads pointing up.

Intraday: Vols have now eased. good thing is although some overbought reading it is keeping at the high range, hence maintaining intraday bullish momentum. with a strong momentum, they are not overbought, but just proved the strength of the bulls holding up. nearest floor is at 1238 with 1228 basement, while closest ceiling is at 1252. with a pessimist eye, the flat-sideway move can have diminishing/divergence-side-effect. hopefully not, since daily is blowing the wind up.

Media: Last night, Yellen gave a long one-hour holy speech. why holy? for every negative/positive points, she balanced it with opposite counter-arguments. while she does that, gold played ping-pong 1247.5 vs 1240. Let's see which bat wins today as the table length is already prepped last night. Ping-pong batters may look at the EU referendum, Brexit, and possibly the US federal elections. In the months coming, my personal belief is that FOMC may say rate hike is possible in July given better economic data in June/July, and they want to see Brexit/Bremain first.

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