current Gold (four-month) range, previous triangle formation and breakout, historic highs.
I will also look at the wider movements (trending and ranging) of Gold in the last fifteen years to give you an eagle-eye's view of how far we have come. We are close to the previous all-time high (2011) and this means that in nine years we have not really made significant progress.
A logarithmic chart looking back fifty years (courtesy of fxtop.com) shows how the kind of moves experience by Gold in the first ten years of that range clearly dwarf anything that it is able to offer at the moment. Perhaps it is a crowded trade and there any 'risk-off' rally has not been that sustained.
Whatever happens, there is a lot of uncertainty about Gold's direction and in the short-term it seems that a neutral stance is the best policy.
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