Cabot101Management

Jawboning only lasts so long !!!!!

Giá lên
FX:AUDNZD   Đô la Úc/Đô la New Zealand
Okay so here we are with this pair again ,

There was a sell off due to Debelle last week jawboning the AUD, it had the effect they wanted a sell off/ profit taking took place.
This pair has been ranging for a while but the AUD up until late has enjoyed a gradual climb against its crosses.
I still feel that if tomorrow ( Asia session) the Aussie figs print well ( CPI ) as its expected to come in ticking slightly lower @ 0.4 , then we still have upside potential in this pair, but it will be short lived due to the AUD rally running out of steam now .
Now also not to forget the NZ trade balance is due out tonight along with RBNZ McDermott speaking, so this pair will get busy again .

Entry @ Confluence zones

1.0610-1.0630 after NZ events tonight

TP @ 1.08

Stop @ 1.0550

Happy trading people

Bình luận:
Right so Poor CPI and more jawboning , we are short for now @ MKT 1.0640 going to ride it down and then enter long later when the dust settles ....

This would have moved quicker had McDermott not made these comments last night:

Neutral interest rate has been falling, estimated at 3.5%
Estimate of core inflation is at 1.4%, inflation pressures are relatively moderate
Lower NZD would help rebalancing

Happy trading people .....
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