BTC bounced EXACTLY from mapped support, but is it the "Bottom"?

Part of my ongoing analysis of Bitcoin moves (see links below).


The pullback was fast and furious, but it bounce Precisely from the last polot.
Now we need to see if it was the "Bottom", or if a further set of waves are due.
The bounce thus far looks quite bullish, but still a bit early to gauge targets for it.

It is POSSIBLE that our ABC correction is done.
It it PROBABLE that we see on more dip still.
It is PLAUSIBLE that downtrend has resumed.

$ 8995-9036 (9k) is the obvious key resistance.
$ 9295-9335 remains a MAJOR hurdle to cross.
$ 9895-9928 will be bears last defense of 10k.

$ 8595-8666 is immediate and STRONG support, must hold.
$ 8002-8075 is quite possible to reach and end correction.
$ 7554-7608 is will be Bulls last defense of this uptrend.

If you see blurry numbers in chart, that is a TV Rendering bug.
Click here for a SnapShot, hopefully with more clear numbers.

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Opps, just realized the links to previous plots did not make it.
Here is my last plot that caught the bounce EXACTLY

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Approaching Moment of Truth

Here we are about to test the 9k zone

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Zoom IN (1h) for a closer look at that bounce:

Beautiful double Ping on subsequently higher fibs.
A very bullish sign, making it more likely that WAS the bottom.
But as we know, a quick dump can change all such perceptions.

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Zoom IN (15 min) for a closer look at Resistance:

$8968 solo fib the outer layer of 9k resistance.
Surely everyone in the world is watching 9k.
US banks and stock market open in 5 hours, after holiday weekend.

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SUMMARY:
- The bounce looks stronger that I first expected.
- Another leg down NOT ruled out yet, but a little less likely.
- Tuesday NY session may well determine the next long term move.

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First Target Surpassed.

Hit the first "X" target almost exactly

Initially rejected back to support.
and now progressing towards extended target.

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Zoom IN (15 min) and adding a Fib + EW:

That sure looks like a "Wave 3" that just ran.
And so we can expect wave 4 down then w5 up.
And all of the ratios fit perfectly into the heart of next resistance.

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BUT, it is actually possible that wave 3 is NOT DONE yet?

Current price action is not yet behaving like a wave 4.
So maybe wave 3 is not quite done yet, and maybe it will run into the resistance itself.
If so, we can then expect a long lasting wave 4 (sideways for a day or two).
Then we can imagine a wave 5 going to $9500 zone!

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SUMMARY:
- 1st bounce target was hit, reacted, and was conquered.
- 2nd bounce target looks likely to hit.
- Also possible that we hit original 2nd target with a wave 3
- If the above, then expect a long lasting w4 and possible w5 target of $9500 range.
- All in all this more bullish than I had anticipated, but tops often do that: look great until the crash :(


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Ping #2 and Moment of Truth

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Looking at this last wave again

It seems 9350 is likely target.
9500 not out of the question either.

Many people (including me) think this is "done" now.
But that may be exactly why it goes up more, so am not out yet.
Trailing a stop now, keeping a fib between price and my SL.

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