Bitcoin to C. Why did Model B fail? Emotions.. or lack there of.
Hello strangers,
On 3.22.18 I made my first prediction. Bitcoin to C. (See related Ideas)
I started off with a inverse HS pattern that i noticed, using a statistical outliers as my starting markers and began connecting some regression dots with lines, aiming to find the best linear regression model that i could.. This would quickly turn into what i coined as, "Model A". Model A, is a model based off of geometric linear regression. I want you to understand, I have 0 chart making experience and I have no clue as to the function of 90% of the tools on this site. But, regardless i thought i would give it a shot.
Model A, predicted every move Bitcoin made until the end of the 24th.. (See related ideas, bitcoin to zone C; recovery to blast off)
Once Model A, was completed. Model B was formed.. Model B was a creation from Model A. Without Model A, you can NOT have Model B. The linear regression points need to be connected between each model in the modeling sequence. The idea is that if the preceding model fails, a new model will need to be formed that connects to the last WORKING model. (in this case, Model A). This is where we are at now.
Our goals have not changed. We must pass the $9000-$9100 zone, in order to reverse this shit downward trend.. (Zone C). We were viciously denied last night. Multiple Times. As you can see in my Modeling Sequence.. There are many notable things here.. Covergence points, geometric denial boundaries etc.
Notice the regressing points above Zone C. Each convergence of regression lines represented an Extreme DROP using geometric boundary lines, as pass/fail points. Both Model A and Model B regression lines were used to make all indicators in the prediction model. Not only did the lines accurately depict movement, but it also depicted varying levels of smaller trend price rise/falls with extreme accuracy within different time-frames (1min, 5min, 15min, 45min, 1hr etc..)
This modeling system works. I use this theoretical modeling system in my neuroquantology research, where I am studying the brain neural functional connectivity by decoding neural algorithms to categorize mental illness and pathology based off of these theoretical brain wave analyses.. I have absolutely zero experience in stock charts, indicators and predictions of money trends, except for what you see published in my profile.
DO NOT TRADE BASED OFF OF MY RAMBLINGS. I have absolutely no idea what i am doing here and this is all one BIG grand experiment for me. Be smart with your money. I have no experience with this stuff other then what you see here. I am just a regular dude using a new theoretical method of prediction modeling to help me understand linear and non-linear statistical outliers of data sets; to help me understanding decoding algorithms for my neuroquantology research for my degrees.
I needed a continuous stream of data to test of my modeling theories. No better data available for theoretical analyses then cryptocurrency market data.. Data available 24/7.. Never ending..
So where do we go from here?.. I have no idea.. A new Model will need to be made, which I will be working on shortly... But i want to be clear on something..
These theoretical models, DO NOT TAKE INTO ACCOUNT HUMAN EMOTION.
HUMAN EMOTION IS THE ULTIMATE STATISTICAL OUTLIER TO CRYPTOCURRENCY. No model in the world can account for human emotions, (except maybe my A.I. model.. but we wont go there).. No model on the market today, can predict human emotion. Period. Human emotions are the fuel that runs this engine. Human emotions ARE OUTLIERS. When the model is not fitting but it was made correctly.. that means the EMOTION IS HIGH or LOW and that shows in the data..
Emotions, control the market. So how does one create a model that incorporates human emotion? .. You study the statistical outliers. Now go make your chart based off of this and see how you do. ;)
On 3.22.18 I made my first prediction. Bitcoin to C. (See related Ideas)
I started off with a inverse HS pattern that i noticed, using a statistical outliers as my starting markers and began connecting some regression dots with lines, aiming to find the best linear regression model that i could.. This would quickly turn into what i coined as, "Model A". Model A, is a model based off of geometric linear regression. I want you to understand, I have 0 chart making experience and I have no clue as to the function of 90% of the tools on this site. But, regardless i thought i would give it a shot.
Model A, predicted every move Bitcoin made until the end of the 24th.. (See related ideas, bitcoin to zone C; recovery to blast off)
Once Model A, was completed. Model B was formed.. Model B was a creation from Model A. Without Model A, you can NOT have Model B. The linear regression points need to be connected between each model in the modeling sequence. The idea is that if the preceding model fails, a new model will need to be formed that connects to the last WORKING model. (in this case, Model A). This is where we are at now.
Our goals have not changed. We must pass the $9000-$9100 zone, in order to reverse this shit downward trend.. (Zone C). We were viciously denied last night. Multiple Times. As you can see in my Modeling Sequence.. There are many notable things here.. Covergence points, geometric denial boundaries etc.
Notice the regressing points above Zone C. Each convergence of regression lines represented an Extreme DROP using geometric boundary lines, as pass/fail points. Both Model A and Model B regression lines were used to make all indicators in the prediction model. Not only did the lines accurately depict movement, but it also depicted varying levels of smaller trend price rise/falls with extreme accuracy within different time-frames (1min, 5min, 15min, 45min, 1hr etc..)
This modeling system works. I use this theoretical modeling system in my neuroquantology research, where I am studying the brain neural functional connectivity by decoding neural algorithms to categorize mental illness and pathology based off of these theoretical brain wave analyses.. I have absolutely zero experience in stock charts, indicators and predictions of money trends, except for what you see published in my profile.
DO NOT TRADE BASED OFF OF MY RAMBLINGS. I have absolutely no idea what i am doing here and this is all one BIG grand experiment for me. Be smart with your money. I have no experience with this stuff other then what you see here. I am just a regular dude using a new theoretical method of prediction modeling to help me understand linear and non-linear statistical outliers of data sets; to help me understanding decoding algorithms for my neuroquantology research for my degrees.
I needed a continuous stream of data to test of my modeling theories. No better data available for theoretical analyses then cryptocurrency market data.. Data available 24/7.. Never ending..
So where do we go from here?.. I have no idea.. A new Model will need to be made, which I will be working on shortly... But i want to be clear on something..
These theoretical models, DO NOT TAKE INTO ACCOUNT HUMAN EMOTION.
HUMAN EMOTION IS THE ULTIMATE STATISTICAL OUTLIER TO CRYPTOCURRENCY. No model in the world can account for human emotions, (except maybe my A.I. model.. but we wont go there).. No model on the market today, can predict human emotion. Period. Human emotions are the fuel that runs this engine. Human emotions ARE OUTLIERS. When the model is not fitting but it was made correctly.. that means the EMOTION IS HIGH or LOW and that shows in the data..
Emotions, control the market. So how does one create a model that incorporates human emotion? .. You study the statistical outliers. Now go make your chart based off of this and see how you do. ;)
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Wait a minute...
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I think it might be possible... Blast of into the Modeled B Zone just past the black bold line? This would be SO extremely incredibly mindblowing.. I doubt that will happnen. Chances are so slim... Very little hope at this point, as i feel Model B is finished. But.. until we fully pass that RS in Model B.. anything is possible..
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The moment of truth is upon us.. Target is 8500..
EXTREME CONSOLIDATION AND GEOMETRIC SET UP.
TO THE HEAVENS OR STRAIGHT TO HELL.
EXTREME CONSOLIDATION AND GEOMETRIC SET UP.
TO THE HEAVENS OR STRAIGHT TO HELL.
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THE IMPOSSIBLE HAPPENED!
