Bitcoin - Deleveraging to accelarate soon

Our short-term price target of 37 500 USD was reached just recently. Therefore, we would like to update our thoughts and change our medium-term price target of 35 000 USD to a short-term price target. Subsequently, we would set a new medium-term price target of 32 500 USD. We continue to maintain a bearish stance on the overall cryptocurrency market as we expect deleveraging to continue. Our view is supported by a combination of bearish technical and fundamental factors. We will pay close attention to the FED meeting and the upcoming rate hike during the current week. We expect hiking rates to have a negative impact on the price of Bitcoin.

Illustration 1.01

Illustration 1.01 portrays BTCUSD on the daily chart. We expect an eventual breakout below the short-term support.

Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI has been choppy lately; due to that, it can be regarded as neutral. MACD remains bearish and Stochastic. DM+ and DM- show bearish conditions in the market. ADX continues to increase, which suggests the bearish trend is gaining momentum. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.

Illustration 1.02

The chart above shows BTCUSD on the weekly graph. It also portrays volume bars at the bottom of the chart. It can be observed that selling pressure has been increasing over the past three weeks. In our opinion, this foreshadows a further move down for Bitcoin.

Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are bearish; the same applies to DM+ and DM-. ADX contains a relatively low value, which suggests the presence of a neutral trend (of a higher degree). Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.

Illustration 1.03

The picture above shows the monthly chart of BTCUSD. It also shows the big difference in the size of the volume being traded in the past versus currently.

Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.

DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.

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Our price target of 35 000 USD was reached.