BTC: Crucial month and week candles

If we close month candle below monthly simple moving average 20 (sma M20) BTC will go to the targets below ~23 300.
Reasoning (in the following ideas):
1. Fractals
2. FRS Policy and strong dollar index (DXY)
3. Target at the center of Week SMA channel and history SMA supports
4. Liquidation price of MicroStrategy loan at ~22 000
5. SP500 targets below 4 000
6. Experimental idea with Gann Fan
7. Oracle price target

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PS: token gift (live chart)
www.tradingview.com/chart/HCzOSnJs/