29/08/23 Weekly outlook

29 thg 8, 2023

Last weeks high: $26824.0
Last weeks low: $26045.0
Midpoint: $25266.0

The weekly outlook starts on Tuesday this week due to the bank holiday. Despite a strong decline 2 weeks ago price has stabilised into a much tighter spread, almost like a sinewave across the midpoint.

Because of this for me personally there is no clear near term direction, however the longer term direction would seem to be bearish thinks to that new lower high after the pullback. We'll know for sure once a new lower high is posted.

If that happens, I would expect most of this years progress to be retraced back down towards the 19k area by the end of the year/Q1 2024.

For now there is not a lot to do as LTF chop is very difficult to navigate currently.

30 thg 8, 2023

Ghi chú

Huge rally on the news that greyscale has won their case against the SEC, clearing a path towards the BTC spot ETF. Obviously the market reacted very well to this news and reached $28,150.

However, this is still a lower high on the HTF, which confirms we are going into a downtrend which lends itself to the theory of dropping down towards yearly open. IF we don't continue to climb higher I think this confirms it.

Also, if we can remember back to the SEC VS XRP case, we saw XRP pump massively and it has since retraced entirely after that good news. I personally think this pump is for fading as of now.

1 thg 9, 2023

Ghi chú

Back at the previous weeks midpoint after a full retrace as feared. I think from a long term bearish bias has been confirmed for now.