Giá xuống


Hi guys,

I post today a BTCUSDT             TA. I have studied the ALTs move yesterday, they are clearly non-phasic with BTC             ( BTC             goes up, alt goes down; BTC             goes down, alts goes up).

Here's my in-head analysis :

Fist step was to see on macro chart if an uptrend was possibly forming :

BTC             touched 3 time 11kish support. Strong support tested and not broken usually annouce a bullish trend forming. Switching to BTC             1D, looking at MACD 1D, bullish trend forming. We see the trend pointing up toward the signal. Low chance to re-test a support, more chance to go upward. Lower band Bollinger interaction+++. RSI said not oversold not overbought.

Micro analysis (current chart) :

We see a nice first impulse with strong support with. Every indicators consolidate and give an indication of more impulses to come. the famous Elliot 1-5 impulse wave everyone have already seen about. Our wave 3 target show a stop near 20K, the last ATH             , which is very logical since this is a resistance. I found the wave 3 target with the Bollinger band indicator on the BTC             1D chart

Option A) We see a compressive (higher lows, lower highs) corrective triangle, a classic one with an ABCDE projected point. Impulse #3 after point E.

Option B) I putted an WXY. If the pattern extend overtime we must be aware about a possible WXY horizontal pattern. But this one is unlikely to appear since we have higher lows and lower highs. So why i putted it on the chart ? Because on the MACD 1d chart, BTC             may take a little bit more time to consolidate before the next impulse.

This current chart have been made according to my macro TA. I have seen Hae Jin works, i fully agree with his projection and my work resume to the same target.

-But Simon, why you say 'arbitrary' in your title, was is this ?

Arbitrary is where someone will trade, for example, ALTs coin to profit of a BTC             bullish run. By moving out liquidity from ALTs and going massively into BTC             , we see non-phasic ALTs/BTC market where BTC             gain value and ALTs suffer proportionnal loss value (sometime greater loss). You and me can do this by trading XXX/BTC.

This hypothesis is very probable since yersterday shown clear symptoms of it (massive drop for ALT for a 1.5k gain with BTC             ). I think the next BTC             bull run will drive the ALTts down . AS for now, ALTs are clearly non-phasic with BTC             .

For example : X/Y and X=1, Y=1 so 1/1. Non phasic market is where (1-0.25)0.75/1.25(1+0.25). X will suffer a -25% loss and Y will gain 25%. but if you compare the ratio, Y win alot more than just 25%. It (Y) gains almost 40% compared to X. This is where arbitrary become very interesting.

Non-phasic market contains infinity of information for your next move. The coins that will suffer heavy will reflect that they have low holder dominance.
Bình luận: Edit : plz note that point 1 and 2 of 1-5 elliot wave are voluntary putted higher and lower to make graph clearer
Bình luận: need to break upper trend
Bình luận: upper resistance broken ! lets see how it goes
Bình luận: MACD shows sign of consolidation for an impulse, maybe it gonna extend a little bit more. will post an update if so
Giao dịch bắt đầu: Hi guys, im posting an update from a different point of view. Same target, different form. Maybe BTC may need a little bit more time to consolidate near this level or maybe it will jump up on the very short term like expected on my first post. :
Giao dịch bắt đầu: First step
Bình luận: second step should impulse soon
Bình luận: should have saw this alternate count
Bình luận:
Thanks for the notice, approximately when?
Phản hồi
@Ox1, cant really say time frame because i cant predict these value precisely
Phản hồi
Hi, what you think will happen to alt coins once BTC makes big moves?
Phản hồi
SimonMercier patelcrypto
@patelcrypto, see the part where i talk about the arbitrary advantage
Phản hồi
Great plan, actually one with the lower risks, just wait for the king to make a move up, and buy cheap alts. Also in the last comment, you mentioned that resistance was broken. When approximately you're expecting btc to make a move?
Phản hồi
@Ox1, the prange upper line is the upper trend. i may make a little update later with new chart data to precise my projection
Phản hồi
Ox1 SimonMercier
@SimonMercier, thanks, your TA are great. I wish you have the fresh one for SC.
Phản hồi
@Ox1, will post a serie of TA named 'Serie A coins'. where i will recommended a bunch of good looking coins to make portofolio with !
Phản hồi
Ox1 SimonMercier
@SimonMercier, good news! I'll wait for that =)
Phản hồi
Enjoy reading your TA's. Thank you!
+1 Phản hồi
VI Tiếng Việt
EN English
EN English (UK)
EN English (IN)
DE Deutsch
FR Français
ES Español
IT Italiano
PL Polski
TR Türkçe
RU Русский
PT Português
ID Bahasa Indonesia
MS Bahasa Melayu
TH ภาษาไทย
JA 日本語
KO 한국어
ZH 简体中文
ZH 繁體中文
Trang chủ Sàng lọc cổ phiếu Công cụ tìm kiếm tín hiệu Forex Tìm kiếm tín hiệu Cryptocurrency Lịch kinh tế Cách thức hoạt động Tính năng biểu đồ Điều khoản sử dụng Người điều hành Giải pháp Website & Môi giới Widgets Thư viện biểu đồ chứng khoán Yêu cầu tính năng Blog & Tin tức Hỏi đáp Hỗ trợ & Wiki Twitter
Hồ sơ Tùy chỉnh Hồ sơ Tài khoản và Tính phí Ticket Hỗ trợ của tôi Liên hệ Hỗ trợ Các ý tưởng đã xuất bản Người theo dõi Đang theo dõi Tin nhắn riêng Trò chuyện Đăng xuất